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mvkel

3,742 karma · joined March 1, 2011

mykel.org
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mvkel··on SCiZE's Classic Warez Collection
Such fond memories. So many OS reinstalls after inadvertently infecting my computer from a sketchy photoshop crack. You learn to never get too attached.
mvkel··on Show HN: A simulator for engineers transitioning from IC to management
> far preferable to arranging a face to face meeting over this low impact, simple procedural issue

Whenever an issue involves people, slack simply won't suffice. There's too much good will lost on either side. "No worries if not [grumble grumble]!"

This isn't procedural, like sending an invoice to the wrong email address. This is a vp overstepping and threatening the success of another employee. They know what they're doing.

mvkel··on 5 Years, 12 Pivots
What seems to be missing in all of this is a cohesive vision and mission.

I do see mention of "making the world a better place," but that's a bit like saying "our company exists to generate revenue." That's everyone. What makes you, YOU?

You're chasing extremely niche problems, that, sure, may be real, but there is no examination of what those problems stack up to that would necessitate years of dedication.

It's no surprise, then, that these pivots feel more like whack a mole than company operation.

That's incredibly depressing, because after five years, you can't look back and say "how far did we move the needle against the mission?"

mvkel··on Show HN: A simulator for engineers transitioning from IC to management
Not disagreeing, but adding a cultural context. So if your culture is a trading floor like boiler room, sure, shame publicly, all day long. Maybe not at a cancer nonprofit
mvkel··on Show HN: A simulator for engineers transitioning from IC to management
It's not one or the other, but should align with the culture. Like the old board chair of Starbucks said: if you're going to be an asshole, be a really good one.
mvkel··on Show HN: A simulator for engineers transitioning from IC to management
All fair points, and agreed. Appreciate this context.
mvkel··on Show HN: A simulator for engineers transitioning from IC to management
Punishing in public; managing via Slack; being a speed bump just because, all in service of preventing the "scope creep" bogeyman.

This is good management?

You can almost see how a toxic workplace experience seeped into OP's world model.

People just want to feel heard. Show up to listen, zoom out to be strategic, think about the mission.

mvkel··on Show HN: Quantum Tunnel
Indeed it was[0]. Give the latest models a try. They're a major leap from just six months ago.

[0] https://chuanqisun.com/#projects

mvkel··on Street Fighter II, the World Warrier (2021)
Absolutely love stories like this. It's such a departure from traditional software where the emphasis is on having "elegant" code, being DRY, etc.

This thing just needed to work once, in whatever way it could be hacked together. And the player never knows the difference! Beautiful.

mvkel··on Swift on Android: Full Native App Development Now Possible
Just in time, right when Apple is quietly abandoning it
mvkel··on Internet is eating itself. What's next? Model collapse and AI data crisis
The author doesn't understand what model collapse is, in that no modern model is trained in a way that would surface it.

Model collapse is a phenomenon where machine learning models gradually degrade due to errors coming from -uncurated training on the outputs- of another model, such as prior versions of itself.

Chef's kiss that this article, and the accompanying graphic, were AI generated.

mvkel··on Punkt. Unveils MC03 Smartphone
Huge disappointment that it's just a glass rectangle with a modified OS.

What made previous Punkt models cool is that they were "dumb+" phones. They did what you needed them to, and nothing else. In exchange, you got a device that fit easily in your pocket.

Now that it's a big touch screen, you've got apps, complexity, and ultimately no differentiator from any other smartphone.

mvkel··on Warren Buffett steps down as Berkshire Hathaway CEO after six decades
Berkshire's investment in Apple is responsible for ~50% of its portfolio success in the last 20 years.

The rest is insurance.

Respect to the man for running an operation for 60 years. That's a helluva feat that deserves a lot of admiration.

Still surprised at HN's glazing of someone whose life's mission was to make a number go up and to the right via insurance packages.

mvkel··on Warren Buffett steps down as Berkshire Hathaway CEO after six decades
If you define success as number going up and to the right, sure.
mvkel··on Resolution – Changing my relationship with AI
I am puzzled by the conclusion that not having a hand in the code means you don't care, which means the ultimate value of the product is diminished.

Maybe in that case, the thing to change your relationship with is yourself, and how you view your contributions to the world.

The code is irrelevant. The thinking behind the code is the valuable thing.

mvkel··on OpenAI's cash burn will be one of the big bubble questions of 2026
That's what I meant, though. That's the expensive part.
mvkel··on Sabotaging Bitcoin
Isn't this the same thing as saying "if everyone just agrees that a dollar bill is actually just a piece of paper, USD becomes worthless"? Albeit at a smaller scale
mvkel··on OpenAI's cash burn will be one of the big bubble questions of 2026
The fact is nobody has any idea what OpenAI's cash burn is. Measuring how much they're raising is not an adequate proxy.

For all we know, they could be accumulating capital to weather an AI winter.

It's also worth noting that OpenAI has not trained a new model since gpt4o (all subsequent models are routing systems and prompt chains built on top of 4), so the idea of OpenAI being stuck in some kind of runaway training expense is not real.

mvkel··on John Simpson: 'I've reported on 40 wars but I've never seen a year like 2025'
There's no technical way people could be as informed as they are today. Newspapers are yesterday's news, tomorrow.
mvkel··on CEOs are hugely expensive. Why not automate them? (2021)
One massive bullet that is missing that is worth more than the other things combined: synthesizing all company data and developing a cohesive strategy that achieves some stated long term vision.

There is no shortage of data a company has at its disposal these days and a CEO will bias towards what they feel they are best at. We see that with Steve Jobs versus Tim Cook. Tim loves seeing numbers go up into the right, so that's where the passion is in the company these days. An AI CEO that could not only balance that out but cancel it out could be a real strength.

The human ceo would still be indispensable in setting the company vision, and defining its culture and values; crucial ingredients for execution.

mvkel··on John Simpson: 'I've reported on 40 wars but I've never seen a year like 2025'
What feels "different" today is not necessarily risk, but visibility.

We now see every war, cyber incident, threat, and speech in real time. I have to imagine the Cuban Missile Crisis (for example) was a much more serious existential risk, we were just largely in the dark while it was happening.

Not to minimize the current crises, I just wonder if this isn't what has always happened, we're just more informed now.

mvkel··on The $276B Bull: Ken Fisher's Top Bets for the AI Supercycle
If following any of this worked, this website wouldn't exist.
mvkel··on 62 years in the making: NYC's newest water tunnel nears the finish line
Die Hard: The Way of Water
mvkel··on How to never make a bad decision
This is a personal reflection checklist and weak as a general theory of decision quality. You could avoid violating every one of these, and won't automatically have a good decision.

For example, layoffs feel "icky" and are almost always the right business decision.

Other "violations": NASA existing at all; early COVID lockdowns; Tesla remaining solvent; the passage of the Civil Rights Act.

Ultimately, you can't judge whether a decision was good/bad until time passes. What you can do at the point of decision is ask yourself if it believably steps towards mission fulfillment, and if it reflects your values.

If one of your values is "be an asshole," then a good decision is the one that a really good asshole would make, not one that an asshole-who-is-trying-really hard-not-to-be-an-asshole would.

mvkel··on CEOs are hugely expensive. Why not automate them? (2021)
I was a CEO for thirteen years. For the hard CEO skills, AI is perfectly suited for the job; even more than it would be for specialist roles.

For the soft CEO skills, not so much.

Not that that's a deal-breaker. I have a vision of an AI CEO couched as a "strategic thought partner," which the wet-CEO just puppets to grease the skids of acceptance among the employees.

I'd fully trust an AI CEO's decision making, for a predictable business, at least. But some CEOs get paid a lot (deservedly so) because they can make the right decisions in the thick fog of war. Hard to get an AI to make the right decision on something that wasn't in the training corpus.

Still, business strategy isn't as complex as picking winners in the stock market.

mvkel··on Last Year on My Mac: Look Back in Disbelief
I largely agree. The product decision deficit at Apple is cultural, not due to any one person missing.

Stephen Lemay, Dye's replacement, has been at Apple since 1999, yet was passed over for the design lead position multiple times. There's a reason.

mvkel··on Last Year on My Mac: Look Back in Disbelief
One of the most egregious issues with macOS 26 is the accessibility/usability regression. Apple prided itself on making their operating system accessible. Good ux is inherently accessible.

There are so many parts of the os that flagrantly ignore well-established accessibility standards, some of which Apple themselves advocated for

mvkel··on USD share as global reserve currency drops to lowest since 1994
Whenever I see headlines like this, I ask: what happened in 1994?

It was post-Cold War and central banks were trimming USD reserves to test alternatives.

Then, crises hit (tequila, Asian, Russian, dot com) and the world reconsolidated around USD, thanks to the immense strength of the Federal Reserve and IMF.

Similarly now, reserve share is falling as countries hedge sanctions and geopolitics, yet dollar usage in trade, debt, and crisis funding remains dominant, and unless a true full-stack alternative (liquidity, safety, yield, and crisis response) emerges, history will repeat.

Makes me wonder: is this just an artifact of the world being relatively "stable" right now?

mvkel··on Ask HN: Why Do You Blog?
It forces me to rotate the shapes of ideas; my beliefs become more durable when I'm willing to explore differing views through the act of writing (or it exposes how weak my initial take is)
mvkel··on The dawn of a world simulator
Given the near-impossibility of predicting something as "simple" as a stock market due to its recursive nature, I'm not sure I see how it would be possible to simulate an infinitely more complicated "world"
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