nullsense

>Own-goals are also certainly a thing, but it would take a serious mistake to end all of us, or even set us back that far technologically on a geologic time scale.

I must be a pessimist in this regard. I don't necessarily think it would take a serious mistake, rather just the nature of complexity itself will likely become a factor at some point and I can imagine certain scenarios playing out based off that.

When you compare the length of time of humanity spent pre-neolithic-revolution with the short ~14,000 odd years since, I can't help but feel our current trajectory won't see us reach hundreds of thousands more years into the future without a serious backslide in that time.

Humanity is pretty darn resilient, but the last few years have highlighted to me that modern day life is some weird fantasy land we've created for ourselves that has an expiry date at some point in the future.

Or this: Morgan Freeman reads you all of your audiobooks from now on and they sound so much more profound and relaxing now.

Zattsu Raito?

> I do not see any limit.

Hmmm, now I'm wondering if you're actually an advanced AI that has already simulated what's going to happen.

Considering a given person's voice would sound different if they were brought up speaking a different language, yet all the speakers of that language have distinct voices, I'd say it's a bit of column A and a bit of column B.

Yikes.

I think a remake of the movie "Gas Light" using these kinds of AI technologies needs to happen as a sort of social commentary on where this is going.

>enough of them have been proven to be that this is a real concern

This matters a loooot more than the smart enough people realize too, because it's so difficult to imagine what it's like being south of that threshold, the potential consequences are difficult to imagine.

>Lets hope we make it through the great filter.

My thoughts on this are that oftentimes things at the extreme ends of the distribution are usually in some way, shape or form problematic. Compared to all other living creatures we know of, humans are right at the extreme tail end of the intelligence distribution, and the result is somewhat pathological when compared to other creatures. I think nothing that's north of a certain threshold required to make advanced technology can make it through the great filter without destroying itself in the process.

Let the games begin.

And not in a Russia

Factorio has an ending... kind of.

It's just the coloquial term for activation of the Default Mode Network (DMN). And yes, it happens everywhere, all throughout the day and to varying degrees.

Also, it's not necessarily always a desirable thing. For example, the practice of mindfulness is literally cultivating the ability to switch off the DMN. The thing that people don't so often click to is whilst it does sometimes lead to those insightful "shower thoughts", it's also what's behind long night torturing yourself ruminating about an upcoming confrontation you're anticipating having with someone etc.

I spent quite a bit of time reading and understanding about the brain and after understanding that the Central Executive Network and the Default Mode Network operate like a see-saw that's mediated by the Salience Network, a great deal more things made sense to me. It helps to know too that for anyone who has experience trauma where they have an elevated HPA-Axis, that the connections between the Salience Network and the Default Mode Network get stronger and hence slipping into rumination becomes the path of least resistance and thus happens more frequently. Actively practicing mindfulness meditation helps counteract this and instead strengthens the connections between the Salience Network and the Central Executive Network.

After learning about the above I discovered Zen Buddhism and realized they've known this intuitively for thousands of years.

Hmm... Japan has the most complex economy in the world though?

It's an amusing insight. You've got me nervously laughing about it too.

How do the machines know what tastywheat really tasted like? My guess is they read the script for The Matrix and learned that accurately mimicking the tastes of foods would be necessary to get the mind to accept the illusion.

>as there is ton of human-generated stories about that to learn from.

Oh snap. Hoisted by our own petard!

What about it confidently just making plausible sounding but false things up? That doesn't make for good customer service...

My 7 year old routinely tells me he is going to be a YouTuber. I routinely remind him about power law distributions. So far he has made 2 YouTube channels with a handful of videos each and even less subscribers. I can't recall if it was for his 6th or 7th birthday but he had been talking a lot about wanting his own "merch", so I asked him what kind of design would he put on his "merch" and he told me what he wanted. I whipped one up on a t-shirt making site and got it for him for his birthday. He still wears it and still refers to it as his "merch".

I think it's mostly harmless and of course most kids will grow out of it. It's definitely like wanting to be a rockstar, but I think the scale is larger and the barrier to entry so much lower that they seem much more convinced it's actually a viable option than what I thought being a rockstar was when I was a kid.

My guess is for many of them it will be a second "wait, Santa isn't real?" moment when they get a bit older and realize that power law distributions are a thing and that's just how it is. Followed by fun times reminiscing about it with each other as adults.

I know nothing about the industry, but out of curiosity... what are considered the more interesting jobs?

Nice. How'd that go down?

I never got the impression anyone thought that? I always thought it was widely understood that we were the resources.

Or "people experience"

It would have to stop confidently making bullshit first I would imagine.

>In essence, HR is the buffer between humans and systems

Hmm I very much see the people (including HR) and all the dynamics they entail as part of the overall system.

>It’s to the point that discussions are derailed by it with folks who feign knowledge about a topic just offer cynicism. Anything that’s doesn’t work right the empty response is a conspiracy of “oh that’s by design” as if people would otherwise always have things working…

It's a safeguard against trying to fight against things that "shouldn't be like this" and burning yourself out. It's endless in the real world too. The reason cynicism runs so deep is that it's warranted. After a period of time you turn around and ask yourself "if everywhere I go and everything I take a close enough look at makes me think 'this shouldn't be like this!' then what is it that I'm missing???". Eventually when the human operating system that underpins it all comes into view, the cynicism sets in. Sure, it's a lazy-ish answer, but in my experience it's a pretty darn good heuristic as far as heuristics go.

>pet projects by HR can significantly impact the quality of life of every employee at the company, cause people not to join the company or quit the company, and so on

Reminds me of the time I almost rage quit when HR's pet project was to implement a "baking roster" for the purposes of "team building".

Like... No effing way am I spending time baking shit just because you want a supply of freshly baked goods to eat? I'm a software engineer damnit.

Made my blood boil for sure.

>AFAIK only variance changes with sample size.

And what explains the change in variance as sample size changes?

Joint probability all members are either all excellent or all terrible is higher when the number of people is smaller.

It's just probability theory meets survivorship bias. The larger the team the more it will trend towards the average because the joint probability that everyone in the team is simultaneously awesome (or awful) becomes lower and lower as a function of team size.

Same thing happened with "small schools perform better" so they got funded. But turns out it's possible for them to perform terribly for the same reason it is for them to perform well.

I read Konbini Ningen recently and to me it read less as a social commentary on late stage capitalism and more as a lived experience of "here's what it's like to live with undiagnosed autism".

>and help them to loosen up some of the calcified structures in the society

This is the exact reason they desperately don't want immigration.