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orwin

4,837 karma · joined August 17, 2017

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orwin··on Linux 7.3
Linux is not fire and forget for people who use technology without really understanding it, but for people who don't use technology and just need to check their mails and connect to government website to pay their taxes, it is the best.

Once it's configured for these kind of people, it's really fire and forget, and it was already that in 2016.

orwin··on The plight of the public potty
In cities, I agree that if you aren't used to it, it might be inconvenient.

However, 99% of hikers in Europe carry their own trash bags. It took off in the early 2000 and now it's almost a culture thing, especially amongst young hikers, and not having one is basically a social error (well, littering is, you can always ask people for an empty trash bag if you forgot yours). Honestly I can see why they choose that solution.

orwin··on The Elizabeth Holmes documentary “You Can See Everything” is deceiving
It's manufactured incompetence. You can see it a lot in companies who use a lot of subcontractors.
orwin··on Israeli settlers attack olive framers & Washington Post journalist in West Bank
"leftist islamists" is the new "Bolchevic jews", and i consider the people using the first to have a similar* ideology to the one who used the second 90 years ago.

*Not the exact same, but the details would be lost here.

orwin··on Tesla Roadster
(i do not think he's a nazi, I think he is an edge lord who dogwhistle to Nazis to look 'cool'. Which honestly is fine for a teenager influencer, but should stop once you're 25)
orwin··on Xi's 'death watch' will become a global spectacle
Hopefully not. Xi could have been as good for China as Deng Xiaoping was. After his elections, he ousted the military out of the CCP parliament, and despite what our media said, it was a good thing for the world stability (and also why the 'china will invade Taiwan' discourse to me was a sign of a simple mind).

However the last 10 years I'm not impressed, even if I ignore the Uyghur genocide and hongkong political repression (and I don't). The number of millionaires in the Chinese parliament grew extremely fast. The CCP is older and while it never truly represented China, it is even less diverse than it used to be. The parliament is richer, older and more masculine than it ever was, and the politburo is even worse. The obvious issues from China's rural areas stayed ignored for years, and the only way the politburo addressed it was on a very limited way, through a genocide (not a violent one, so it is palatable to their intelligentsia, but still a genocide).

Still, I think the author is too hard on China. Xi and his government still have to have the parliament support, and it can be lost quickly. Xi's death won't suddenly make the 2.5k parliament member quits and take arms. Most of them are from the economic elites (farm/boat/factory owners), and wouldn't support any kind of local mayhem.

orwin··on Fable Took My Job
My company pay a copilot subscription to everyone, plus my team have a bedrock subscription that cost us 7k last month. In the meantime, some guys created a new internal team and are testing open source models (for our red team) on our own hardware (we didn't sold our 'old', 3 year old servers RAM/CPU, so the only investment was GPUs). My guess is that within the next 6 months our red team will use open source models exclusively, and my team will probably follow within two years. Especially if the GPU prices go down
orwin··on Anger as man sentenced to death for Facebook comment
Clearly mentally ill people should get the benefit of the doubt for nonviolent offenses. Also, not a max security prison.
orwin··on Will AI kill us all
Are you talking about LLMs+harnesses? No. The day a LLM can play chess without harness, or make it's own harness I might listen to you, until then I'll work on actual threats. No object permanence makes any world conquering _really_ difficult.
orwin··on Will AI kill us all
Climate change was killing hundreds yesterday, is killing tens of thousands today, and if the trend continues, will kill millions tomorrow. AI made like 5 people kill themselves today. Pardon me if I don't pay attention to the mellow threat and want to focus on the iss that actually threaten us.
orwin··on Will AI kill us all
No. Nuclear plants (at least in Belgium) open their LANs manually at random (by that I mean, when their network guy is ready, not that it's a random hour) only to download their software updates, get the SHAsum on another medium before verifying the downloads and then updating the software.

And this is recent. 5 years ago it was still a man in Lyon taking a locked briefcase with a usb stick inside driving from Alstom to the Belgian nuke plants. We can still go back to that if the WAN their LAN connect to seems to be compromised.

If LLMs were able to do anything about nuke plants, that would be the least of our worries. Also LLMs are shit at understanding networks. SD-WANs are their absolute limit atm.

orwin··on A Cop's Case for Flock
One of the last point is that no one in a vehicle should expect privacy, and IMHO it's the only point worth talking about, because others have been explored ad nauseam.

Let's say he is right (there is a case for and against). In that case anybody should be able to access the data. To prevent abuse, let's have people requesting access fill a form with their last name, reasons for access+time constraints, and make the requests public, so that everyone know who searched for which car. Maybe add a secondary access, where you input a badge number and a warrant number, that prevent the data to reach the public for a set of time (at most a year).

Also if that happens, I will probably make an app so you know when someone searched for your car.

Sorry I'm hn brained today.

orwin··on Calling It Quits on ServerFault
This issue was mostly on SO itself. For most other stack exchange servers, it worked really well.
orwin··on We are going to kill "unalive"
They were terrified of what Lenin incorrectly called 'leftcommunism' more than Marxist-leninism. Council communism, syndicalism, platformism and those kinds of stateless communism. State communism will always ultimately turn into Cuba, Vietnam or China, basically undemocratic state capitalism.
orwin··on German Bundeswehr uses AI to screen applicants for right-wing extremism
They are worse than crybabies, they are crybullies, punching easy targets but running to cry when they're punched back.
orwin··on US killer's sentence quashed because of AI video of victim shown in court
Not my experience at work. Our new developer hires have now a year and a half under their belt and still don't understand what they do. They are now able to spot style inconsistencies so there's that, but still have no understanding of our WAN, what is software defined and what is not.

Also, our management explained to us two weeks ago how 'Access& Identity' will help us be more productive, in a slide, and read that out loud without batting an eye. I get that management often isn't the most clever, but this is a degree of stupidity that wasn't present two years ago I feel.

Don't get me wrong, AI was great for me, it's a very good tool, but you can't tell me you understand as much of your code as you did a year ago.

orwin··on Sales of sub-€25,000 electric car models set to rise sevenfold
Sorry, my command of English slipped up here. She rarely drives more than 10 km daily for her work,and will drive at most 100km in a single day, so she doesn't need range.
orwin··on Sales of sub-€25,000 electric car models set to rise sevenfold
My mother do not move more than 100km a day anymore (and even that is a stretch, I think the most she drive is to the beach 25 km away), but 25k€ is a very big investment. She recently bought a second hand electric car for 9k€ and is very happy with it.
orwin··on Rejection Sensitivity in Gifted and Twice-Exceptional Children
education research is at the same level as nutritional research was 20 years ago. If you don't read cutting-edge article, what you're reading is probably at best outdated.
orwin··on US killer's sentence quashed because of AI video of victim shown in court
Smarter than they will be in 20 years when all students will have abdicated reading to LLMs
orwin··on Hair Loss Was Just the Start. Ozempic Users Are Also Reporting Nail Trouble
Yeah, no. Willpower is more like a well that replenish with sleep, friends, family and a secure environment and that you use to do anything difficult. The harsher your life, the deeper you need to go to get water back.

I lost now 42 kg from my heaviest (5 kg left to reach my ideal weight of 73 kg), the first 20 i absolutely needed eat less and to fight the hunger pangs (which are more painfull than ankle sprain due to my fucking grehlin receptor being whack), some medical help was needed anyway (i fasted for 5 days under medical supervision to reset my leptin levels, and stayed in ketosis for 3 month prior to that to reset my insulin resistance). 20 kg loss over 18 months. I thought exercise would be enough for the last 20, but i took 5 year to loose 5, and only a change in diet finally helped me go under 80.

NGL, all that is very difficult if you have issues at home or in your life. My family might have individual flaws but as a unit we've been doing great since like 2006, and my income in 2019 when i started my weight loss was comfortable enough for me to have a great apartment, private medial help and a good overall social life.

If people need GLP-1 to get back in track, they should absolutely go for it. I do think we should help them, once they are close to their optimal weight, to sever from GLP1 though, i've heard about the "rebound", imho it is way easier on the mind to eat as much as you use to than forcefully reduce your portions (your leptin/grehlin level were unfucked by GLP1, so your old eating habits are now only psychological, not hormonal)

orwin··on On social reality in China
Yeah, i totally get that, it's absolutely not malicious, i'm not sure it's even fake, maybe only a bit exagerated. But for an unaware person, it _feels_ that way, and i guess when American visit France or the netherlands, or, to go back to the subject, China, our reactions must feel weird.

That was jut to tell the author that i think he misread how Chineese are on this specific point. It wasn't a criticism of North Americans at all. Really, i think this is charming now (as long as we don't work together, then i will find this infuriating and bitch about it to my SO)

orwin··on Everyone's Packing Up
Yeah, i think it's not only social media platform. I used to read a lot of bad fiction on internet (sometimes it was _really_ good, but most of the time, not), and it took a large part of my time (easily 2 hours a day, plus one hour of reading paper book to help me fall asleep). Nowadays i have the impression almost everything is AI-enhanced. Shorter sentences, quips for no reason, lack of details. It makes dialogs as tense as action scene, and i'm just tired.

I'm quitting. Slowly, but surely. Some days i don't read anything now. Even when i'm bored in the train, i don't necessarily read anymore. Instead i'm in smaller communities, often on discord, sometimes on whatsapp/signal, almost always one where i've met people IRL first, and i must admit, i feel somehow a bit better. Not that i ever felt that bad, i am usually happy, but weirdly it feels like a new benefits of AI.

orwin··on On social reality in China
As a casual visitor: the nationalism point rings very true, everywhere, their nationalism is more about hurt national pride than anything.

The point about the cynical view however I disagree with. I don't think I have the correct words to explain this, but basically, unlike India, Korea and maybe to a certain point Japan, they distrust this kind of American, almost forced friendliness, cheerfulness and enthusiasm and see it as fake, which is very similar to how French, Belgians, Dutch or Germans feels sometimes (I know I did my first time around in California).

That's also the reason why out of all of Asia, I feel the best working with Chinese teams (Japanese too but I have more trouble with their English).

[Edit]: forgot the point about social shame: not untrue, but geographically limited to the more rural area in my casual observation. No one in Beijing takes themselves that seriously, but in poorer areas, pride and face felt more important.

orwin··on Effective altruism is this century's biggest idea
It is a less effective version of mohism/state consequencialism. If 21st century biggest idea is worse than China's 6th century biggest idea, pardon my french: On a pas le cul sorti des ronces
orwin··on Returning from vacation? The government can search your phone without a warrant
At least not if from the EU.
orwin··on AI borrowers face tough sell in risky corners of US credit market
We have now multiple studies in France that show that R&D tax credits do not have any meaningful impact on actual research and new patent, and show that they have the most impact on hiring for 'PME' (small and medium companies) per euro credited.

I'm not against tax breaks for R&D, but they shouldn't benefit Facebook.

orwin··on September 2026: The world today, as seen by one Polish guy
Not really raised to hate the US, but they do learn in school that the sarin Saddam Hussein used on their parents and grandparents were from US stocks. Which is factually true, even if used as propaganda.
orwin··on September 2026: The world today, as seen by one Polish guy
Houthis used to only attack Israeli ships, because of their truce with the Saudis. Now that their diplomats got bombed at an airport, they are attacking Saudi ships, including tankers, too.

Against GP point though: the Houthis probably won't attack non-saudi, non-israeli vessels anytime soon, so it shouldn't change the route so much.

orwin··on DraftKings is using AI to behaviorally target chronic gamblers
> Automatic weapons ban lifted

Weirdly, you still have a ban on sniper rifles and on AP rounds.

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