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ralph84

4,421 karma · joined October 27, 2016

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ralph84··on Roku developer repositories moved from GitHub to GitLab
Their current CEO was brought in to sell the company to private equity like he did with New Relic in his last job. Unfortunately for him, private equity is being selective in which SaaS companies they acquire right now with interest rates spiking and uncertainty over the future of SaaS as AI becomes more capable. Acquisition by an AI lab was probably their next best hope, but the labs seem to all be rolling their own developer platform instead. Maybe Bending Spoons will make a move if the stock revisits its lows.
ralph84··on Mark Zuckerberg Pushed Meta to Shield Him from California's Proposed Wealth Tax
If you don't like the stock don't buy it.
ralph84··on OpenBSD 8.0 release will have inteldrm/radeondrm/amdgpu drivers from Linux 6.18
No, you don't get to change the license on someone else's code just because you import it into your project.
ralph84··on "I'm on a war footing": Terry Tao and the crisis in math
Everyone who built an identity on being the most intelligent in the room is going to have to come to grips with that no longer being a differentiator.
ralph84··on Gold is now the top U.S. export
The biggest gold mines by far are in the US, Russia, and other former Soviet republics.
ralph84··on OpenAI discloses four more rogue incidents
Nothing is stopping anyone from suing them. In fact they are being sued by dozens of plaintiffs for various things already. The reality is the damage from these "rogue incidents" has been minimal.
ralph84··on Incident with Actions, Pull Requests and Issues
https://archive.is/q0cPI

"Microsoft turns to Amazon for help with GitHub's AI-driven capacity issues"

ralph84··on Incident with Actions, Pull Requests and Issues
> They should have access to as much Azure compute as necessary.

"Should" doesn't imply "does". GitHub is competing with all of the other Microsoft products that need Azure compute, in addition to Microsoft customers. If a customer is willing to buy the compute at a higher margin than the internal chargeback rate, it's definitely not a given that GitHub is getting that compute over the customer. It's hunger games for compute everywhere right now.

ralph84··on Big Tech's Capex Is Half of Wall Street's Profit Growth
> valuations become increasingly dependent on future expectations

Valuations are always dependent on future expectations. What else would they be based on? That's one of the main functions of a stock market: providing price discovery via competing buyers and sellers placing bets on the expected future economic prospects of companies. Of course fraud interferes with price discovery, but again, where is the evidence of fraud?

ralph84··on Big Tech's Capex Is Half of Wall Street's Profit Growth
Enron was massive accounting fraud. Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence. Where is your evidence of accounting fraud? "Lots of companies investing lots of money into AI and it might not work out" isn't fraud.
ralph84··on Winning the visa lottery
> Cmd-F housing

> not found

Yet another chamber of commerce article clamoring for more cheap labor without addressing where all of these people are supposed to live.

ralph84··on Why I didn’t sign the Fields medallists’ letter
People working multiple jobs in the western world have some reason beyond "basic survival". Supporting other people, living in a desirable location, or like the vast majority of people they want to make enough money to go beyond basic survival because basic survival is low status. Which is why the idea that all we have to do is give people enough money for a basic survival lifestyle and they'll be happy and spend the rest of their time on things with perceived aesthetic value like math research is the insane take.
ralph84··on Why I didn’t sign the Fields medallists’ letter
It's very unlikely anyone with the intelligence to contribute to math research can't already find a non-hectic job that provides for their basic survival. People choose hectic jobs because they want to do better than basic survival.
ralph84··on We got admin access to Baseten's production GitHub in 25 minutes
The researcher in this case was doing a security review for their company who was a potential customer. Sending potential customers more than a token amount of cash is usually prohibited by corporate ethics rules for obvious reasons.
ralph84··on A misalignment of AI in mathematics
I see how it can be devastating to their ego, but no, I don't see a particular difference in a company spending money for clout vs. a person spending time for clout. The underlying motivation is the same.
ralph84··on A misalignment of AI in mathematics
> primarily as a marketing exercise

Like the mathematicians working on famous problems in private until they could claim full credit for something interesting wasn't also a marketing exercise for their own careers. The commercial value (or lack thereof) of a proof doesn't depend on whether it was done by a human or a machine.

ralph84··on iPhone 18 Pro and iPhone 18 Pro Max
It could be as simple as Apple committed to a certain volume with Qualcomm before they were certain they could get mmWave working so they have to keep using Qualcomm modems somewhere while they burn down the commitment.
ralph84··on Tao: Open math problems being non-renewably mined by AI
Nobody owns math and it is ridiculous to suggest someone should.
ralph84··on Reasons robotics is hard
Not sure about that. Labor costs are lower in China and the CCP is strongly incentivized to keep enough jobs around for humans to maintain their own hold on power.
ralph84··on Our decision on Cursor following its acquisition by SpaceX
5% of traffic. OpenAI models are a much higher percentage of revenue.
ralph84··on Bye, Bye GitHub
What frontier model did GitHub train? All of the frontier labs scraped GitHub like they scraped everything else. While GitHub has certainly tried to profit from AI, directing ire at GitHub for frontier labs training on public code seems misplaced.
ralph84··on I teach calculus at Berkeley. Some of my students can't do middle school math
This does not align at all with what is happening in public California high schools and colleges, which is what TFA is about.
ralph84··on The AI Credit Resale Economy
Or API rates are their way of doing price discrimination and it's all profitable. Make sure Enterprises(tm) pay the Enterprise(tm) rate, but mop up the rest of the demand too at lower price points. This has been part of the software playbook for decades.
ralph84··on Jane Street suffers $15B hit after meltdown at Situational Awareness
No one? Mutual funds have managed to attract $33 trillion trading once a day. The demand for millisecond-level trading is almost entirely from a very small group of firms profiting from it.
ralph84··on Jane Street suffers $15B hit after meltdown at Situational Awareness
Or you could just hold auctions a few times per day and eliminate the billions of dollars spent trying to win a pointless race.
ralph84··on Jane Street suffers $15B hit after meltdown at Situational Awareness
Yeah, the stock market may be positive sum over the long-term, but it's certainly zero sum over the millisecond-term. Whether it's "retail" or "institutional" that is paying for HFT profits, it's all retail in the end.
ralph84··on Grok Bot
How does per-seat pricing work against bots? If anything it's a great deal because SaaS providers set per-seat pricing with the expectation that on average most seats are idle. Bots working 24x7 can get a lot more value out of a seat than humans working 9-5.
ralph84··on What Happened to HackerOne?
Presidents club is a standard way to reward top performing sales reps across many industries. It doesn't indicate anything other than the company is trying to reward and retain their top sales reps. Engineers who find it distasteful should be happy to know engineers typically get way more equity than sales reps.
ralph84··on Changes at Google DeepMind: Demis Hassabis from CEO to Chair, Jeff Dean departs
Google was offering researchers the Bell Labs/Xerox PARC model of comfortable budgets and pay but capped upside. And just like with Bell Labs and Xerox PARC the inventions at Google got productized elsewhere by people chasing the uncapped upside. Google would have been happy to keep LLMs in the research lab forever and never productize any of it. ChatGPT forced their hand.
ralph84··on Apple says more ex-employees may have taken confidential data to OpenAI
There is no reason pay has to be flat with a union. The highest paid members of MLBPA or SAG-AFTRA are paid 1,000x what the lowest paid members are.
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