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redox99

4,601 karma · joined March 14, 2022

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redox99··on MiniMax M3.1 Flash
My math takes that into account. It's 20x more expensive but you get 60x subsidy on subs. I.e you can do more tasks on a $20 claude sub than with $20 in deepseek API.
redox99··on MiniMax M3.1 Flash
Opus 5.5 is according to AA cost per task, 23x more expensive than Deepseek with max effort (which is dumb, you shouldn't use) and 13x more expensive on xhigh.

Claude sub has a 60x subsidy, so a $20 sub gives you $1200 in API.

Based on this math, Claude sub is a much better deal than Deepseek. And it's a stronger model of course.

redox99··on How Far Will AI Assistants Go for a Refund They Can't Get?
I have a missing Amazon order that says delivered but it was actually never shipped, you only need to check DHL tracking to verify this (and DHL customer support confirms Amazon never sent the order)

After multiple supervisors appeals etc Amazon won't refund me

I think I need to give these agents a try.

redox99··on DeepSeek search and fetch – $0.75 per 1000 successful requests
It's really not neck and neck with Opus 5.5.
redox99··on Tesla Roadster
~1700KG with 600L of nitrogen gas at 10,000 PSI

If you do the math that gets you about 13 seconds of hovering.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=22rvpUecLts

redox99··on Tesla Roadster
https://x.com/itskyleconner/status/2110901867823718434
redox99··on Call Center Jobs Are Declining, but 14,000 Calls Show Humans Still Outperform AI
Having to waste 15 minutes with an AI is still crazy though.
redox99··on Muse Spark Open
Muse wonder is still benchmaxxed.
redox99··on Muse Spark Open
It performs worse than Muse Spark 1.3 and 1.2. And it has an outdated attention mechanism which at 1M tokens will need over 200GB just for the KV cache.

Very disappointing release. We're lucky to have Chinese models.

redox99··on Ledger confirms spy chip implant behind wallet crypto thefts
I never understood why people considered specialized hardware more secure than general purpose hardware.

A hardware wallet is way way way more likely to be backdoored[1] than an off the shelve Intel or AMD CPU.

[1] by people wanting to steal your crypto (unlike the NSA or Intel)

redox99··on OpenAI engineer arrested in bugging of executive conference room
How does someone this dumb get hired at openai?
redox99··on Gemini 4 Argon
Maybe? But it's so many orders of magnitude apart. I can easily do 1B tokens a day (output tokens is probably like 3M?).

When I see non technical people use that Google reply I'd be surprised if it's more than 1k output tokens, and with a tiny model. So a 3000x in output tokens, on a model at least 10x as expensive, I wouldn't be surprised if hardware usage is 30.000x for a dev that uses coding subs vs someone who uses the Google AI overview a couple of times a day.

And that's not counting the absurd difference in cache reads.

redox99··on Gemini 4 Argon
> I bet they actually resolve more LLM requests than any other company at this point. The lay person still uses Google exclusively.

Unique users, maybe. But a simple query that's answered in a paragraph is negligible compared to devs running agents continuously for tens of hours.

redox99··on Gemini 4 Argon
Not for coding (antigravity).

https://x.com/OfficialLoganK/status/2110038940841545827

redox99··on Gemini 4 Argon
Only available in the $100 plan, and it's worse than Opus 5.5? Why would you ever buy this?
redox99··on Muse Wonder
> Everyone made fun of Zuck when [...] forced out Yann LeCun, a Turing Award winner.

Really? You'd have to be pretty dumb to keep LeCun, someone who hates LLMs and keeps making claims that end up being proven false in matter of months.

redox99··on Will Linux phones become a viable alternative to the Android/iOS duopoly?
I'd consider that solved with LLMs (the capability is already there and will only improve). The only remaining hurdle I'd say is hardware attestation.
redox99··on Terence Tao: Math 2.0 [pdf]
Number of employed SWEs has maintained the same, slightly increased in fact.
redox99··on Terence Tao: Math 2.0 [pdf]
For now that is balanced by the fact that we build more software, things that wouldn't be worth it before.
redox99··on Cloudflare acquires Deno
You can migrate off deno in a single day. It's not a big deal.
redox99··on GPT‑6 and Intelligent UI for everyone
Pro has a specific limit of weekly messages (50 for the $100 and 100 for $200 I believe)

The rest is basically unlimited unless you're doing something very weird.

Meanwhile I cant ask a simple question to Claude, not even to Haiku, because I used my claude code 5h limit.

redox99··on State of Devs 2026
The training data back then was sooooo bad. You'd open something at random in Common Crawl and it was truly unbelievable that models (like llama) were able to output coherent stuff. The architecture was truly miraculous if it could train well with terabytes of garbage.

There was so much low hanging fruit back then in terms of training.

redox99··on State of Devs 2026
Interesting. Since GPT4 came out I strongly believed LLMs would replace human programming. By November 2025 when opus 4.5 came out I thought it was pretty established already and most people agreed with that premise.

By human programming I mean humans typing code.

redox99··on Sharing AI progress in mathematics
The stochastic parrots have predicted the next token once again.
redox99··on Utah to let AI examine patients and prescribe medication without human oversight
> Being a doctor is one of the jobs expected to be least at risk from AI replacement

Is it? At least as a customer I'd love to replace a doctor with AI. Humans suck, you have to wait so long for an appointment, they spend like 10 minutes on your case, and often have very outdated knowledge. The main issue is that vision still sucks and lack of embodiment is a problem. It could invoke "human subagents" for that.

redox99··on Beam: Reflection's 501B open-weight model
Yeah but they are already RL'd too. No doubt you can further improve an RL'd model by doing your own better RL on top of that. But it's not going to be the same as starting with a base model or instruction tuned model.
redox99··on Beam: Reflection's 501B open-weight model
I think there aren't any recent base models to post train on. Labs don't release them any more.
redox99··on Turn off Apple Intelligence on macOS 27 and get its disk space back
I love local models, but the AFM advanced or whatever its called (the 20B local one) sucks. And it's not really used in MacOS outside of "fm" and very niche stuff. Siri is always cloud even if you're offline.
redox99··on DeepSeek Harness Desktop for macOS and Windows
My problem with plugins is that I don't want to install stuff from third parties. It might be malware, become unsupported, or generally have a lower quality. I rather have a curated and polished feature set out of the box.

It's nice for having your AI create your own plugins. But I haven't really found the need yet.

redox99··on Clef: Open-source decision models, and new RL fine-tuning platform
Yes, although you probably want to calibrate your model if you want the probabilities to actually be meaningful.
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