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sailfast

4,142 karma · joined July 13, 2011

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sailfast··on Buy Your Friends Batteries
The 12 year payoff IF you manage the arbitrage properly really made me wonder why on earth you would buy one of these.

I want one, yes. But it sure as hell wouldn't be to save money. It'd be to have something if and when the grid falls over due to negligence.

sailfast··on Anthropic's War on open source AI
I don't think Federal (US) regulation under current conditions is going to get you what you want here in terms of outcomes.

Regulated AI right now is a grift game. Donations for policy changes, and the ability to lock out competitors. Flattery to stay green-lit instead of shut down by random executive orders and policies. Bend the knee to keep shipping.

If anything, we need LESS federal regulation here and more FTC / SEC enforcement but (see above grift comments) that will also not happen in the United States until voters elect somebody that actually respects the law enough to enforce it for something other than their own gain (outside of their need to be elected, of course...)

sailfast··on Anthropic's ‘watermark’ text adulteration in Claude is a perversion of writing
Have you tried to "rubber duck" an idea with an LLM. The latest models are pretty damnably good at it.
sailfast··on Incident with Github.com [resolved]
Weird. For me it's in Actions, Issues, and other integrations / workflows / add-ons that aren't that easily replaced.
sailfast··on Lovable raises $400M Series C
Thx for the replies - also didn’t occur to me that the company may want to build their own data centers to get off expensive token dependencies if the LLMs are core to the business. I keep considering these like raw software plays but they’re not always - and if you can’t use the capacity in the end you can always rent it to somebody else. Probably a no brainer for investors to loan money for chips these days… though I think more brains should be looking at that play.
sailfast··on Lovable raises $400M Series C
Fair enough! Obviously not a loan, and I didn’t consider “exit soon” as a way to repay investors. Good points.
sailfast··on Lovable raises $400M Series C
That thinking is going to die pretty soon. Unless you’re building the groundbreaking foundations that requires heavy capital profitability is going to be a huge concern and soon - but that’s just one undercapitalized man’s opinion :)

Also - profitability or margin makes a big difference. Most folks are capable of selling $2B for $1B. Obviously not the case here if they’re doing 500M on a 400M raise, but you get the point.

sailfast··on Lovable raises $400M Series C
No doubt - and that sounds like an awesome and sustainable business that would benefit from a couple million bucks. Would you want $400M?
sailfast··on Lovable raises $400M Series C
Totally agree - but do you think that is a 13 billion dollar moat that Anthropic would not be able to solve through branded integrations and connectors?

I’d imagine they’re already working with folks like Stripe, AWS, etc on exactly this at the moment potentially? I guess that’s where Lovable comes in. And now the money makes sense. Do the raise and become an acquisition target so one of the labs doesn’t have to do it themselves.

sailfast··on Grok 4.6
Do they have Fable level models? Or are they all saying “hey we’re dangerous too!” and hoping to get some token spend out of it?
sailfast··on Lovable raises $400M Series C
If the models get that good you won’t need Lovable at all. That’s the strange part - the model companies will instead eat the infra layer (at least I’d imagine that’s what happens - Claude just knows how to manage AWS for you). This seems like a very shallow moat into which to pour $400M.
sailfast··on Lovable raises $400M Series C
I’ve never heard of this company. Maybe that’s because I build software for a living.

How many years of insane growth would it take to pay back $400M at this rate?

What. Is. Happening?!

$13.3B valuation? They mention Adidas, Nvidia, etc but their “favorite” use cases are toy apps inside smaller firms.

The play here has to be “our model of building companies via agent workflows and websites is the best” otherwise TAM numbers are just nutty. Smoke it while you got it I guess and congrats on the raise!

sailfast··on LinkedIn CringeBot 3000
Unfortunately even with a heavily pruned list the feed is still a spam fest of recommendations that are just terrible. And every email notification is Facebook-level bait and switch clickbait.
sailfast··on Software development with AI is starting to feel like cooking steak
A software engineer user with taste, yes.

Have you ever been really deep in a thread with an agent on a technical deep dive? The trade-offs conversations would not make sense to someone that is not able to decode the real decisions they’re making.

You can dumb down the agent, but the reason domain language matters is because of the precision of the word sometimes - not to be a gatekeeper.

Anyway - user with taste that understands all the elements of their decisions would be my modifier :)

sailfast··on Born Against, or why hobby programming communities are against LLM usage
It could be the same act - but not necessarily legally the same because of the actor.
sailfast··on The Cold Email
If you don’t run for the bus, you won’t catch it!
sailfast··on A $500 RL fine-tune of a 9B open model beat frontier models on catalog review
The goal is still the singularity though right?

Sure, for business, personal, etc it makes sense to build purpose built but that’s not what these companies are trying to achieve in the end. They want to own a nuclear weapon that outstrips everything else as soon as it exists so they “win”

sailfast··on Our position on open-weights models
What country do you live in? Nevermind it doesn’t matter because literally every country has had their politics interfered with.
sailfast··on Apple Will 'Watch Everything Burn' When the AI Bubble Bursts
Needs an ( “says Ed Zitron”) title change haha.

This is an interview with Ed Zitron.

sailfast··on US citizen charged after GrapheneOS phone wipes during airport search
How dare he outwit a bunch of nincompoops. If the United State was a nation of laws this suit should be tossed with prejudice.
sailfast··on Government orders GitHub to remove Bluetooth-based chat app Bitchat: Jack Dorsey
Ooh definitely time to install this on my personal device then. Thanks Mr. Modi!

Aside: oof yeah this seems like terrible policy and takes India off my bucket list.

sailfast··on It's getting harder to focus every day
I’m aspiring to the gen-X level of DGAF (elder millennial - prone to giving many Fs).
sailfast··on I Inspected My Take-Home Interview Project. It Was a Whole Operation
Really hate that the USG overreaction on Fable has given us a neutered version of AIs for DEFENSIVE capabilities even when we just want an explanation of what we’re being subjected to with this malware.

Give defenders a better shot…

sailfast··on OpenAI Presence
For the sake of all our sanity I hope this is a good product that can solve real problems without being a ten minute barrier to getting to a human.

AI support has been terrible so far in my experience and tends to over optimize for a happy path easily solved on a company website rather than solve the issue that made me call them on the phone that is likely a system bug or other issue.

sailfast··on AWS: Inaccurate Estimated Billing Data – $1.7 billion
Who is going to compensate us for the years taken off our lives when we received the alerts?
sailfast··on SpaceX stock erases all its gains and slides below IPO price in intraday trading
I would much prefer Mr. Musk found a nice hobby like yachts or race horses instead of buying communication platforms, bulldozing regulations, and bribing officials with PAC money.

That said, he needs the wealth to keep the whole machine from falling over. One element might be stable but the rest is overstretched and about to go bankrupt at any minute. He is doing this to get back control of Tesla while also investing in AI and not exploding.

He is running forward falling and his wealth legs need to keep up or it all goes down hard (and takes a bunch of bagholders with)

sailfast··on The lost joy of music piracy
These deep dives are fun, but it’s a lot more fun to have a conversation with someone about this sort of deep dive, get to know their taste and trust their next rec is probably going to be good.

I miss the community around music sites more than the content. Curation and passion was top notch and fun. Nobody was angling for ad dollars or revenue. They just did it to build the community.

sailfast··on Building a real-time AI tutor for 5-year-olds
Never read Diamond Age huh?
sailfast··on Cloudflare Meerkat - Globally distributed consensus
Will they need a Zookeeper for all the Meerkats I wonder?
sailfast··on A better way to tie gym shorts (or any drawstring) [video]
That requires money. (GOTO makeMoney)
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