maybe you feel upset that someone has created a project similar to yours, but your accusation seems meritless.
what am i missing, if anything?
564 karma · joined September 12, 2010
x.com/drmikexo2
maybe you feel upset that someone has created a project similar to yours, but your accusation seems meritless.
what am i missing, if anything?
The headline (“fairness is what the powerful can get away with”) is a tad lofty given the methodology of the study.
Since 1960 American GDP has more than tripled in real terms (constant dollars): https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/NYGDPPCAPKDUSA
I don't know what's causing obesity, but it doesn't seem to be income, given everyone worldwide exploded into fatness around 1980.
And I'm not satisfied with flimsy hypotheses, such as a historically unprecedented worldwide diminution in human "willpower."
https://opendataforafrica.org/atlas/Guatemala/topics/Food-Se... https://data.worldobesity.org/country/guatemala-85/#data_tre...
A brief sample, though their whole argument is more complex:
"People in the 1800s did have diets that were very different from ours. But by conventional wisdom, their diets were worse, not better. They ate more bread and almost four times more butter than we do today. They also consumed more cream, milk, and lard. Our great-grandparents (and the French) were able to maintain these weights effortlessly. They weren’t all on weird starvation diets or crazy fasting routines. And while they probably exercised more on average than we do, the minor difference in exercise isn’t enough to explain the enormous difference in weight. Many of them were farmers or laborers, of course, but plenty of people in 1900 had cushy desk jobs, and those people weren’t obese either."
What you offer is not a "counterpoint," as you put it. It's the equivalent of: "I don't like ketchup, ketchup is bad, people who like ketchup are stupid."
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Graham%27s_Hierarchy_of...
Now I'm approaching middle age. Last year I was looking for books to read in a language I'm learning. I decided to re-read Catcher, and to my surprise, found it heartbreaking. I mostly remembered the plot, but it was a completely different book to me as a man than as a boy.
Everything Holden does is in the shadow of his grief over his dead brother. As a kid, that flew over my head. I couldn't have understood the hole in your heart that comes from losing someone you deeply love and admire. I didn't get the sad chain of cause and effect - there are hints at how it affects everyone in his family.
It's a beautiful and subtle book, and it rewards re-reading later in life.
ENRICHED FLOUR (WHEAT FLOUR, NIACIN, REDUCED IRON, THIAMINE MONONITRATE, RIBOFLAVIN, FOLIC ACID), PALM OIL, SALT, DRIED CARROT FLAKE, CONTAINS LESS THAN 2% OF AUTOLYZED YEAST EXTRACT, CITRIC ACID, CONCENTRATED GREEN CABBAGE JUICE, DEXTROSE, DISODIUM GUANYLATE, DISODIUM INOSINATE, DISODIUM SUCCINATE, DRIED CORN, DRIED PARSLEY, EGG WHITE, GARLIC POWDER, HYDROLYZED CORN PROTEIN, HYDROLYZED SOY PROTEIN, LACTOSE, MALTODEXTRIN, NATURAL AND ARTIFICIAL FLAVOR, ONION POWDER, POTASSIUM CARBONATE, POTASSIUM CHLORIDE, POWDERED CHICKEN, RENDERED CHICKEN FAT, SILICON DIOXIDE, SODIUM ALGINATE, SODIUM CARBONATE, SODIUM TRIPOLYPHOSPHATE, SOYBEAN, SPICE AND COLOR, SUGAR, TBHQ (PRESERVATIVE), WHEAT.
yum!
A. Max sentence:
Wire fraud on customers (20 years max) + conspiracy to commit same (20) + wire fraud on Alameda lenders (20) + conspiracy for same (20) + conspiracy securities fraud on FTX investors (20) + conspiracy commodities fraud (25) + conspiracy money laundering (20).
145 years total possible
B. Determine SBF's offense level under the Federal Sentencing Guidelines, §2B1.1 (fraud): See https://www.ussc.gov/sites/default/files/pdf/guidelines-manu... and Ctrl+F for "2B1.1" to ride along:
Base offense level (7 levels) + Greater than $550,000,000 loss (30 levels) + Resulted in substantial financial hardship to 25 or more victims (6 levels) + Offense otherwise involved sophisticated means (2 levels) + Defendant derived more than $1mm in gross receipts from one or more financial institutions (2 levels, maximum, due to a cap from earlier calculation) + Violation of securities / commodities law and defendant was "associated with a broker or dealer" or officer/director of a "futures commission merchant" (4 levels)
51 levels
C. Determine the Guideline sentencing range. See https://www.ussc.gov/sites/default/files/pdf/guidelines-manu...
x axis: no criminal history. y axis, we calculated 51 levels.
The Guidelines therefore counsel life in prison.
D. Calculate sentence
The maximum sentence for each count is between 20-25 years. Under the Federal Sentencing Guidelines § 5G1.2(d) and Second Circuit precedent, sentences will be stacked consecutively "to produce a combined sentence equal to the total punishment." United States v. Evans, 352 F.3d 65 (2d Cir. 2003). In our scenario, that would be 145 years. This is the same legal reasoning used in stacking Bernie Madoff's sentences in the same federal district court, by the way.
E. Judge chooses sentence. He can depart downward from the Guidelines
Appeals courts are deferential to trial court choices in sentencing, so Judge Kaplan will have substantial latitude in choosing a sentence. That said, a judge may not be too favorably disposed to a defendant who stole billions of dollars from over 1 million customers, most of whom were ordinary people; who used Tom Brady, Bill Clinton, Tony Blair, Shaq, and Larry David as unwitting pawns; who advertised his scam in the Super Bowl and splashed its name on an arena; who used customer money to buy lavish real estate in the Bahamas, purchase favor from politicians, and make reckless leveraged bets
We performed a dose-response meta-analysis to summarize the prospective data on coffee consumption and associated risk of dementia and Alzheimer's disease. These studies included 7486 dementia cases diagnosed among 328,885 individuals during an average follow-up of 4.9⁻25 years. Meta-analysis of all eight studies indicated no statistically significant association between coffee consumption and the risk of dementia and no deviations from a linear trend (p = 0.08). The relative risk of dementia per 1 cup/day increment of coffee consumption was 1.01 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.98⁻1.05; p = 0.37). Meta-analysis of five studies that focused on Alzheimer's disease revealed no association between coffee consumption and Alzheimer's disease and no deviations from a linear trend (p = 0.79). The relative risk of Alzheimer's disease per 1 cup/day increment of coffee consumption was 1.01 (95% confidence interval 0.95⁻1.07; p = 0.80). These results do not support an association between coffee consumption and an increased risk of overall dementia or Alzheimer's disease specifically, but further research on the association of coffee consumption with dementia risk is needed.
One wonders: is the unearned time as an elite university president worth being humiliated by an 18 year old on the student newspaper and being forced to resign in disgrace?
For me that's an easy no, but others may have different preferences.
so maybe the portuguese policy could use some tweaking.
But I have powerful visuals in dreams and on psychedelics. On LSD I once spent 15 minutes flying through a Henry Rousseau jungle on a toucan's back.
I can sometimes voluntarily summon images immediately before falling asleep.
Great question, by the way. I wonder if others have similar experiences.
https://forum.language-learners.org has excellent polyglots
https://www.reddit.com/r/languagelearning is good, though it has more beginners. however, it has a dramatically better UI
I often use Google's "site:" feature to search them
I eventually discovered that, while everyone has their idiosyncrasies, the best learners share 80% of their methods and mindsets in common. I also noticed things that cause failure by paying attention to what struggling students were saying and what the strongest students were politely chastising them for
Along those lines, there's a small French 100+ year old language learning company called Assimil [1]. They're universally beloved by polyglots [2] [3]. They make courses out of clever dialogues with your First Language on one side and your Target Language on the other. The courses come with audio for your Target Language. They're cheap, around $50-$100, and packed with enough information to bring a total novice to respectable intermediate status.
I used their English-Spanish course to learn Spanish extremely quickly. After a few months of study, I was able to watch native Spanish TV programs with Spanish subtitles and understand 80-90% of them. I would emphatically recommend their method to anyone. I am not affiliated in any way with the company.
There's also the Listening-Reading method, which many polyglots swear by, once you've gotten your bearings in your Target Language. It's a rigorous but fun method of learning your Target Language by enjoying audiobooks of your choice.
Incidentally, it is wise, if you're serious about learning a language quickly, to seek polyglot forums and to use their accumulated knowledge to smooth the path ahead of you.
[1] https://www.assimil.com [2] https://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=assimil [3] https://www.google.com/search?q=site%3Alanguage-learners.org...