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tpm

1,483 karma · joined February 4, 2016

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tpm··on The US added a record 20.2 GWh of battery storage in just 3 months
Evaporation can be solved by covering the reservoirs, so the water can't evaporate. Geography is the real issue. Costs to build possibly too.
tpm··on Rising rates of colorectal cancer found in nearly all age groups
Good description here, along with the specific cancerogenic mechanism: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Processed_meat
tpm··on Rising rates of colorectal cancer found in nearly all age groups
There is certainly a bunch of bad stuff in meat (and in industrially produced vegetables too) but that is separate from the established carcinogens contained in processed meat, which is AFAIK mostly nitrates from curing salts reacting with the heme from blood (vegetables often contain nitrates too but they don't contain blood). Which is why the use of curing salts is heavily restricted (and antioxidants added) but OTOH still needed to restrict the growth of Clostridium botulinum. The other one would be carcinogens from frying.
tpm··on Serbia's Vucic concedes election defeat in historic win for student movement
> But those that happen are spread and amplified. > France crisis turned into a France+Italy+Greece+Belgium crisis.

So first of all what crisis are we talking about here, a fiscal crisis (there is definitely one in France) or the sometimes violent protests? And can you spell out the exact connection to eurozone in this 'spreading'? Also why did it spread only to 4 Eurozone countries and not the rest?

> You can't have them converge even with same currency!

why?

> If say Gambia

We don't have a Gambia here and you understand a common currency is only one part of the project. What we have are many different countries that are indeed converging - for example we've got car factories in countries that never had them before on this scale. Can you without looking it up say which EU member produces the most cars per capita? But we have to do more of that convergence.

And yeah, a political union would help, but then we both know it's not possible currently, so an ever tighter federation has to suffice for now.

> (also converging to what?)

to freely (as freely as possible) doing business across internal EU borders, in this case

tpm··on Serbia's Vucic concedes election defeat in historic win for student movement
> I hope you can see how this will cause losers to be more spiteful, while making winners more arrogant.

These are again fact-free arguments based on feelings. Who are the winners and who are the losers? Germany as a big exporter certainly doesn't look like a winner now, does it? Spain is doing better than Germany since Covid in GDP growth.

And of course we need the EU markets to be converging and you can't really do that with 27 currencies and monetary policies. Why do we need them converging? Because businesses like the US or China greatly benefit from having huge economies of scale in their internal markets, which makes it much easier to expand after that. The EU has to come as close as possible to that too, otherwise we have no chance and will suffer much greater economic pain. But I guess Varoufakis doesn't tell you that. He just makes you long for the great times where you had to pay for each currency exchange and every bank transaction to other EU countries.

As for far-right monsters, the nazis are currently the most powerful parties in Italy, France, Germany, Austria among others. So your thesis still doesn't make sense.

> You obviously are not good at identifying a fascist streak.

You still don't understand what I wrote. There is no fascist streak that would distinguish countries that adopted the euro from those that didn't.

> Stable EU states that aren't in the EZ. Like, say Norway or Switzerland.

Let's at least try being serious.

tpm··on Serbia's Vucic concedes election defeat in historic win for student movement
> Because I know how off mark you are about Croatian politics.

I am sorry, but what are you on about? Your thesis is that Eurozone accession enables future fascism ("Ngl joining the EuroZone (what Magyar did) is precisely the myopic decision that allows future fascist to rise to power."). What does that have to do with Croatian fascist leanings, which existed long before they joined the EU? Precisely nothing. So why are you mentioning them in connection with the euro?

> What I do know all major Euro economies are experiencing constant crises that never end

Compared to what?

> And that is excellent breeding ground for the populist movement.

Compared to what?

> Euro as a whole just produces more and more crises.

Compared to what?

There is no serious analysis, only talking points about perpetual EU crisis which are exactly what the fascist movements are pushing, so yeah.

tpm··on Serbia's Vucic concedes election defeat in historic win for student movement
I don't agree with Varoufakis regarding more or less anything he says; he's been consistently wrong for a long time.

You picked one state from seven, while not mentioning fascist elements in Hungary or Poland (before Tusk). Great calibration on your side.

So some other things you failed to mention:

- most CE economies are very open and so big businesses already do internal accounting and/or facturation in euros anyway

- a move to euros would save transaction costs for companies and individuals

- in Hungary at least this would also probably lower mortagage costs (they had some issues with mortgages in Swiss francs in the past as far as I remember)

tpm··on Serbia's Vucic concedes election defeat in historic win for student movement
> I have hope that at some point Russia too will begin to understand that the days of empire are behind us and that it is better to create than destroy.

I don't have that hope but if there is any path to that, it leads through many many coffins.

> how much of this is because of Russian influence in America. That could well have been a much larger factor than we know at the moment

There is some influence but it's not the largest part. It's just the robber barons of the world form natural coalitions and help each other.

tpm··on Serbia's Vucic concedes election defeat in historic win for student movement
Joining the Eurozone makes sense if your country does most of the business in euros. Which Hungary does. Czechia and I guess Poland do too and should have switched long time ago. Worth mentioning also that all of them legally committed to that on accession to the EU back in 2004; of the new EU members from CE, Slovenia, Croatia, Bulgaria, Slovakia, and the Baltic countries adopted the Euro and I don't identify a fascist streak there.
tpm··on Social dynamics of toxic metal industry in medieval Europe
In the UK lead pipes were legal to install until 1970s.
tpm··on Lula supporters protest against Meta to denounce its 'electoral interference'
It's about the particular mechanisms how this is done. I don't live in the US and while we have many issues in our country, the elections were never in question. And I can assure you our country was not created by "high-IQ political philosophers".

Meanwhile in the US, if a majority party does not like the voting districts, they just redraw them, and if they don't like the voters, they disenfranchise them. Truly great high-IQ work.

tpm··on Europe EV sales rose 70.3% in September, 32.6% of market share
It's not even the weight of the EV but mostly how you calculate CO2 of the EV manufacturing part (which is usually higher than that of ICE). That combined with high-coal electricity generation pushes the lifetime CO2 break-even point further away.

Once EV manufacturing is decarbonised (which is I assume ongoing) this will be moot too.

tpm··on U.S. Supreme Court to review 1868 federal ban on home distilling of liquor
> you literally just pour out the first 0.5% of whatever comes out of the still

So you have to 1) remember that and 2) calculate how much will come out. You will be surprised to hear not everybody does.

> the "public health threat" is literally a prohibition scare-the-rubes meme.

I'm not from the US, we never had prohibition. We however had people poisoned (blind or dead) by methanol - I'm originally from the countryside and making and drinking fruit spirits is very common here.

Also more people dead from methanol sold as alcohol on industrial scale - like https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2012_Czech_Republic_methanol_p... - of course this happened because the alcohol taxes are high, but OTOH if they weren't high, people would drink even more, and that reverberates through the health system and society as a whole.

tpm··on Lula supporters protest against Meta to denounce its 'electoral interference'
> Decisions of randomly selected jurors are much harder to “game” than decisions of corporate censors or election board bureaucrats.

Sure, which is why the laws in the US are not approved by randomly selected lawmakers. In that way it's irrelevant what some random jury decides, when the executive branch, the lawmakers and top judges are owned by the ruling class.

> We have those in Bangladesh. As often as not, such laws just become vehicles for manipulating elections

Sorry about that, but that's not a rule that applies everywhere, far from that. And of course the elections in the US are already heavily manipulated even without that.

tpm··on U.S. Supreme Court to review 1868 federal ban on home distilling of liquor
Distillation also concentrates the methanol, which can kill you. You have to know how to get rid of it (it has a bit lower boiling point), which makes it a non-trivial task with a significant downside. If you then sell the bad alcohol you've just made yourself a public health threat.

The way this is solved in our country is that you can legally make your own alcohol, but only at a state-approved distillery, where the personnel knows how to handle this.

tpm··on Lula supporters protest against Meta to denounce its 'electoral interference'
> Everyone

Why should everyone care about founders of a different country that's not even working particularly well at this time.

> while substantive decisions about guilt or liability are made by randomly selected juries

A system gamed as easily as any other one.

> Meanwhile other countries trust random people at companies

They don't trust them to do the right thing, which is why there is a law telling them what to do. The alternative is to ban privately-owned social networks (either all of them or at least those that don't follow the laws).

tpm··on Europe EV sales rose 70.3% in September, 32.6% of market share
> The most economical way to manage that in general is owning your own vehicle.

It might not be the most economical way to manage that. Often owning a car is seen as a status symbol, and economically it would be more rational not owning one. But I doubt many people do a really thorough honest calculation - they don't have to, they can afford a car. In that way, a car loan is helping them to do the, strictly economically speaking, wrong thing.

> But it's a large capital expenditure upfront.

Yes, which is why in many countries the private owners are not the biggets market for new cars; instead, companies are, because they have the incentives to buy new. And private owners mostly buy on the secondary market.

tpm··on Europe EV sales rose 70.3% in September, 32.6% of market share
If it's 100% coal, then yes, otherwise EVs are better. And since the grids are moving to renewables all over the world, it will continue to get better.
tpm··on Europe EV sales rose 70.3% in September, 32.6% of market share
> That won’t buy me an EV.

for now, but maybe in a few years it will

tpm··on Tesla 'Cannot Guarantee' Roadster Reservation Holders Will Ever Get a Car
Xiaomi SU7 Ultra, Yangwang U9 Xtreme (that one does 308 mph), Ferrari Luce (sold out?) and many others.
tpm··on Siri is so bad at everything
yeah but Elon is still a Nazi so there is that
tpm··on Why Sweden is abandoning its cashless society
If that means businesses will accept a card without grumbling (or at all) I'm all for it. Feels strange to come from a supposedly less-developed country to Germany and having to pay cash.
tpm··on Cyberattack halts construction of tunnel between Denmark and Germany
> highly redundant operations

We wish, but that might not be true. Last year a South Korean government data center burned down and some data was lost forever with it. A few days ago, Ukraine attacked Yandex data centers (3 of them I think?) and some services stopped working, one of them a bank, so people can't get to their money, and it's not certain they will in the future.

Power generation generally seems to be much more redundant in that war. In part because Ukraine connects to the EU power grid and Russia itself has a huge grid. Sure for a small island country the situation would be different.

tpm··on Citroen revives the 2CV for an electric age
The BBC article fails to mention that this new 2CV is aiming for the new M1E vehicle category, created especially for small, affordable EVs.

If you want something bigger (than 4200 mm) then the battery will be so expensive anyway that most of the added tech does not change the price considerably. And also forget about the analogue dashboard because we have a billion mandatory digital assistants anyway (I'm not complaining, anything to save lives).

tpm··on Yandex bot traffic down 99% after data center attack
Does it not bother you it's entirely fact-free? No source, no info what exactly is on Y-Axis and provided data ends in the future at the time of the posting?

(and Zdechovsky is not a reliable source at all)

tpm··on What driving across Europe costs in tolls, vignettes, bridges and fuel
I'd guess in 2026 all vignettes can be bought online, for several different periods from one day to whole year, so you can and should buy them once your itinerary is set.
tpm··on 3rd Yandex Cloud Data Center Was Hit
Russia is an extremely rich country, in natural resources and potential. But the governing class is worse than a mafia because mafia does not lead senseless wars outside of its territory while making their own (mafia) people worse off.

Your point is a good one but there are many people who left even when they couldn't really afford to and are stuck somewhere, but still won't return.

tpm··on Yandex Takes a Second Data Center Hit in 48 Hours
it's storage being hit too.
tpm··on Yandex Takes a Second Data Center Hit in 48 Hours
Well, did Russia agree? They didn't and they won't so this is moot. You are certainly able to grasp the diff between Trump wanting unilateral Ukraine attack stop and Macron wanting a bilateral stop.
tpm··on US closely monitoring case of lab worker who possibly died of plague in Siberia
Well the Russians themselves also considered the vaccine a geopolitical and propaganda tool, which is why they rushed it so much.
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