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trothamel

4,138 karma · joined March 8, 2011

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trothamel··on Medicare Will Pay $50k for Your Heart Attack. It Should Pay $100 to Prevent It
It also means not paying credit card fees, not having to chase down bounced checks, etc. Cash means the money is there, which has value.
trothamel··on A practical guide to AI image generation, from diffusion to agents
It's the same sort of people that think they're making art when they take a photograph with their iPhone.
trothamel··on Tesla Roadster
How are you going to suffocate when the thrusters are sending out compressed air?
trothamel··on Trump administration is suspending Microsoft from a green card program
Except the point of the original post is that has changed.
trothamel··on The space bit of SpaceX is worth $8 a share, says Morgan Stanley
https://x.com/SawyerMerritt/status/2064108916611420273?lang=...

While I'd suspect the design is still in flux, the current design is for a 120kw satellite with 110 square meters of radiators. Scaling to hundreds of gigawatts is intended to be by repeatedly launching smaller designs.

trothamel··on GPT-5.5 hallucinates 3x more than MIT-licensed GLM-5.2
Offhand, do you know what format that data is in? Is it a question and then a human answering that question? Mostly just curious at to what the training data consists of.
trothamel··on xAI is looking more like a datacentre REIT than a frontier lab
I suspect that this is the start of a play for SpaceX's orbital datacenter project - if they're really planning on launching as many satellites as they've said (and Starship is going to massively lower the cost of launch), they won't be able to fill them with Grok. So perhaps it's best to become the infrastructure provider to the other AI Labs.
trothamel··on Project Hail Mary – Stellar Navigation Chart
After the accident, Apollo 13 had 4 burns.

The DPS-1 burn which restored the free return trajectory was done using the Apollo guidance computer.

The PC+2 burn which sped up the return from earth was done using the Apollo guidance computer.

The MCC-5 mid-course correction burn was done by hand.

The MCC-7 mid-course correction burn was done by hand, but used the Apollo guidance computer to integrate the accelerometer to let everyone know when the burn was done.

(All the burns on Apollo 8 were computer controlled. I'd assume Gemini 7 and 12 were hand flown, though I don't know for sure.)

trothamel··on Starship V3
So, that's generally not something local governments do in the US. They do things like increasing taxes on data centers, denying water rights, electric interconnection rights, etc. (At least, all of this has been threatened against data centers.)
trothamel··on Starship V3
SpaceX's launch capacity is an order of magnitude larger that all four of those put together.
trothamel··on Starship V3
It's putting AI processing out of the reach of hostile local, state, and international governments. Does it need to be a cover?
trothamel··on The Onion to Take over InfoWars
This is a really good point, especially since a similar plan was attempted once before and failed.
trothamel··on Artemis II safely splashes down
That was a great article.

Adding to it - Apollo 13 was a mission where 3 men should have died, but somehow didn't. If it had happened while the LM was on the moon, you would have had the CSM lose power, and then two men on the moon would have had no way to return home.

(And for the shuttle design mission - my understanding is it was likely the ability to do a HEXAGON-style film return mission in a single orbit, before the Soviets knew what was happeneing.)

trothamel··on Lunar Flyby
This is about to change.

New NASA administrator Isaacman has redone the Artemis program. The changes were announced at the Ignition event a few weeks ago:

https://www.nasa.gov/ignition/

If you read one thing, read the sides on building the moon base:

https://www.nasa.gov/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/2-building-t...

The goals it to fly often - adding a SLS launch to 2027 and a second launch to 2028. This drops the cost-per-launch, which is mostly fixed. It redoes SLS to make it less expensive and more capable. It moves the lunar space station down to the surface of the moon.

And it's budgeted at $10B/3 years, which fits into NASA's budget.

Isaacman took the Artemis program and fixed it. The reckoning came, and it's looking good.

trothamel··on Earthset (Artemis II)
Also Artemis II in eclipse.

https://images.nasa.gov/details/art002e009301

trothamel··on Artemis II Lunar Flyby (Official Broadcast)
They just set the record for being farther away from Earth than anyone else.

The commander just named a feature on the moon for his late wife.

trothamel··on Artemis II crew see first glimpse of far side of Moon [video]
We're about to find out.

The new NASA administrator, Isaacman, seems to have done a very good job of convincing the various Senators to, if not get rid of the pork, allow him to allocate it in a way that benefits the lunar program.

The result was the Ignition event, which looks like it's planning to send up 17 small and 4 crew-capable landers by 2028, along with a fleet of orbital assets.

You can find out more https://www.nasa.gov/ignition/ , especially the "Building the Moon Base" section. The cost is $10B spread out over 3 years.

trothamel··on NASA’s Artemis II Crew Launches to the Moon
Successful space travel is one of the few big news events where nobody has to be unhappy.

Most of the other big news events are ones where people get severely hurt, and political ones where one partly loses.

With this, we can look up at the moon, and say "Humanity did that."

trothamel··on Artemis II is not safe to fly
This is a perfect way to put it.

Artemis II is not safe, at least by the standards we apply to things. It's the third flight of a capsule, on the second flight of the rocket, and the first flight of things like the life support system.

At the end of the day, one of the reasons astronauts are respected is they understand those risks, and go into space anyway. That doesn't mean we shouldn't try to minimize risks - but at some point the risk becomes acceptable, and the cost of reducing it too great.

To paraphrase a quote from Star Trek - risk is their business.

trothamel··on Ignition: NASA's Plan for the Moon [video]
Text version of the introduction: https://xcancel.com/NASAAdmin/status/2036428252693078055
trothamel··on Show HN: A weird thing that detects your pulse from the browser video
There's a version of this built into the Google Fit application for Android.
trothamel··on NASA announces overhaul of Artemis program amid safety concerns, delays
A couple of new posts by Nasa Administrator Isaacman:

Launch cadence across NASA programs:

https://x.com/NASAAdmin/status/2027456699175497741

An infographic showing the new architectures:

https://x.com/NASAAdmin/status/2027456713507356713

It's interesting how Artemis III (the new one) will try to prove out both HLS landers in one LEO mission.

trothamel··on America's pensions can't beat Vanguard but they can close a hospital
Interest also compensates for the other things that money could be doing. If I didn't loan it to you (or a student), then I would be doing something else with the money, even if just buying a government bond.
trothamel··on X offices raided in France as UK opens fresh investigation into Grok
Don't forget polaroid in that.
trothamel··on xAI joins SpaceX
https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2017792776415682639

For what it's worth, this project plans to use Tesla AI5/AI6 hardware for the first launches.

trothamel··on xAI joins SpaceX
The point of the Starship program is to drop the cost of a kg going to space significantly - this isn't meant to be launched with rockets that aren't fully reusable.
trothamel··on xAI joins SpaceX
SpaceX tends to expend cores they've gotten significant use out of, rather than new ones - so the core would have been "paid off" by then.
trothamel··on xAI joins SpaceX
On the other hand, Tesla vehicles have similar hardware built into them, and don't require such hands-on intervention. (And that's the hardware that will be going up.)
trothamel··on A Crisis comes to Wordle: Reusing old words
If I remember correctly, the original version of wordle used a word list that was run past the creator's wife, who had learned English later in life. The result was a really accessible game - none of the words felt like ones you wouldn't know. It probably makes sense to reuse words than risk losing that accessibility.

(I kept a copy of original wordle, and it seems to have 2,315 words that are possible answers.)

trothamel··on Internet voting is insecure and should not be used in public elections
In a lot of places, it's a photo ID. Usually that required a birth certificate to get, and often a few more pieces of corroborating information to make it harder.
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