trts

respectfully it is not a lie, and more than a half a dozen people I know personally lost function of their hands, legs, were hospitalized with myocarditis, had local paralysis/palsy. I personally lost the use of my hand for two months and it took two more years to recover.

and when people like me say things like this, inevitably someone like you comes along to tell them they are dangerous for saying it out loud. In fact, the government was actively censoring people from being able to express this on social media.

In a March 29 2021, MSNBC interview, Rochelle Walensky stated publicly that CDC data suggested "vaccinated people do not carry the virus" and "don't get sick". a knowingly false statement at the time and at best an inexcusable error from the head of that agency.

I also had covid this year, zero boosters, had a mild fever and sniffle for two days. not sure what you are demonstrating with this anecdote. or what goalposts you think I moved. the "milder symptom" stuff all came long after it was obvious that the covid shots were not doing what had been promised. that is what I would call moving the goalposts

most of the critics of this particular vaccine are the ones that took it. either the people who got covid anyway or were injured by it.

it was incredibly destructive for trust in the medical establishment to oversell / mandate it and market aggressively as "safe and effective". while most vaccine risks are in the 10s per 100k or 1M, nearly everybody knows somebody else who had an adverse reaction to one of the covid shots.

nearly everybody observed that you still get and spread covid anyway. that is disconnected from the aggressive messaging from the CDC and the fear and shame campaign from the last US administration.

criticism of a specific vaccine or policy does not make someone an anti-vaxxer that moves goalposts. the establishment is responsible for the skepticism it engendered against itself by its hubris

you never get a second chance to make a first impression

guess you can believe what you want but data shows the Epstein topic has been damaging his base support

not sure where you are looking but Rasmussen polls have been showing Trump hemorrhaging support since June among his base. if you visit X this is where many of them converse, and they are quite openly unhappy with the admin lately

experienced something very similar. thought I would leave my field permanently out of frustration and despair. I like my work now, but faced with that burnout again do not think I could power through it a second time.

Apropos, I had chronic pain throughout this experience. I thought it was just aging, irreversible, and something that compounded my hopelessness. It's very surprising to be 10 years older now but feel 20 years younger. Books like "The Body Keeps the Score" or "Healing Back Pain" used to seem woo to me, but now I am convicted that health comes from within as much or more than it does from without.

anyone remember XPDE? I'm not sure it was ever finished / packaged in any major repo but came across someone doing a walkthrough of it the other week and it looked pretty complete.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xFKx8nCl1Vw

It is hard for me to distinguish between the functional simplicity of desktop computing in that era, with the overall excitement that the explosion of connectivity brought to the world. The internet was a lot of fun and had so many surprising corners. Practically all of it was personal, niche, or experimental content for awhile.

I wonder if Windows 9X was really all that exceptional, or if it was just what people remember driving with as they navigated the new world.

The best modern equivalent to that desktop paradigm I've found is LXQt, although when I use it I find I kind of miss some of the accouterments of the modern desktops.

a couple pages that describe the agency and their projects, for those who were not familiar. the agency was created in 2014.

https://18f.gsa.gov/our-work/

https://www.govtech.com/civic/what-is-18f.html

Key Projects:

Beta.FEC.gov: Revamped the Federal Election Commission's website for easier record access.

MyUSCIS: Simplified the immigration process for U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services (USCIS).

USCIS ICAM Development: Developed a login and identity verification system for USCIS users.

eRegulations Platform: Made regulations more accessible and understandable.

College Scorecard: Provided clear data on college costs, graduation rates, debt, and post-college earnings.

Cloud.gov: Offers a platform for government teams to develop and manage web applications efficiently.

U.S. Web Design Standards: Created open-source UI components for consistent federal website experiences16.

generally intelligent people tend to perform well on intelligence tests

people who perform well on intelligence tests may not present as generally intelligent

you do know different people say different things?

I am sharing my personal opinion

The opposition will always employ fear tactics like socialist, marxist, fascist, science denier etc

it is hard for me to think of a more status quo candidate than Harris

interesting to behold this inversion where the "conservative" side is taking dramatic and rapid action, changing things quickly, while the "progressive" side vociferously defends the status quo

maybe both of us are doing some presupposing

not sure if their policies have changed but in 2021 Amazon Studios implemented quotas for performers and creatives on each project based on race/ethnicity, gender, and ability, with the actor's real-life identities expected to align to their characters. doesn't sound like a compatible platform for this particular franchise.

I think that is a valid argument and makes some sense. have to toss the hot potato. The argument for the trade offs are pretty simple I think. It encourages more concentration of wealth in assets and increases the amount of malinvestment.

The question is to what degree. I am saying there's no analytical argument for 2%.

I think most people would agree that 10% or 50% inflation would be bad. But why is 2% better than 1% or 0%?. Why is 1% better than -1%? it depends on the time horizon. higher inflation today will cause more economic activity, higher inflation in the long run encourages debt and misallocation of resources.

care to cite some examples of deflation quickly destroying an economy? there are many such examples for inflation. Argentina, Germany, Zimbabwe, Greece

there is deflation that comes from shrinking of the monetary base and there is deflation that arises out of productivity gains

often the "deflation" observed in bad economies is a symptom rather than the cause E.g. there were a few months of official deflation in the US following the global financial crisis, but this followed from the crash rather than caused it.

1-2% inflation is "healthy" is a trope that nobody really justifies. Perhaps its true, and it is often repeated as gospel. the "2% inflation target" was derived just from the comments of economist Roger Douglas in New Zealand who thought that sounded about right.

We welcome and celebrate deflation in technological goods (cars, electronics), apparel but are constantly warned about the dangers of deflation and why "some" inflation is good.

What is the argument for why 1-2% _deflation_ in housing, education, and healthcare would be bad?

not sure there is a country on earth that you could save your money in the national currency and not watch inflation rip away the value of your earnings. The purchasing power of USD has declined 95% over the past century.

Prettiest horse in the glue factory

deflation in computers, cars, apparel, materials and other technologically manufactured goods has been consistent for generations ... is this bad?

would it be bad if the cost of college education, housing, or healthcare decreased?

why would it be bad if the cost of groceries fell to what it used to be (deflation)?

a lot of people were advocating for a primary in 2023 and got shouted down by the establishment dems

I actually feel Apple did a decent job gobbling it up and incorporating some of the best features into their native weather app.

Merry Sky is a good homage but I've never evaluated it much for accuracy: https://merrysky.net/forecast/new%20york/us

CPI doesn't measure things like healthcare properly (17% of GDP) as those prices are not paid by consumers. the insurers get their cut straight out of your paycheck.

College either. Tuition is priced as is, but what about people who pay many multiples of the original tuition in interest expenses over the years? not counted in CPI. Tuition inflation for a person with the means to pay out of pocket is much lower than someone who finances their education.

maybe more like Bush. Clinton was the last president who oversaw a brief surplus in the federal budget and once said "the era of big government is over".

pretty wild to think that surplus was in part driven by the internet boom. now we have some kind of stock market boom while the federal deficit is 10% of total GDP and national debt is growing by a trillion dollars (a million times a million) every 100 days or so.

an eye for an eye doesn't end well because nobody gets their eyes back

China can change their policy easily with respect to reciprocity

this is kinda funny to me. practically every social scientist I’ve known that had to use R was appalled by how cryptic and unintuitive it was.

I always understood that it was its open source nature being a successor to the S language that gave it traction

two reasons for me

1) tidyverse makes prodding and plotting my data faster and more enjoyable. when I am prototyping a model I'll sometimes do the groundwork in R and then migrate the production version to python

2) I can't seem to write data wrangling code in py that is as aesthetically pleasing and easy to reinterpret later. could just be that I started in R, but while the methods in pandas "work" I don't always totally understand why they work the way they do. with tidy it works the way I expect and feels easier to read back and iterate on

the number of people saying this in this thread is what feels inorganic to me. what created this era where people are eager to come to the defense of incumbents?

what's wrong is wrong; this isn't good policy. someone reported on it, people are finding out and they don't like it.

I used to have a 3 mile walking commute and was almost always in a great mood, full of ideas and inspiration by the time I arrived at work or home. It took about 35 minutes each way.

probably twice as slow as driving, but 10x more enjoyable

3 hours to commute 3 miles is literally 1 mile an hour. about the speed of a baby's crawl

have never seen anyone point out this incredibly obvious (or obviating?) point