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ufhghfggf

246 karma · joined August 19, 2021

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ufhghfggf··on Ford's $3900 electric crate motor and F-100 concept
Heard that modern truck engine compartments are getting so cramped you gotta lift the cab to even change all the spark plugs. This way dealers can charge $500-$800 for a plug change. (And diesels, which don't have plugs, have even more stuff ($$$) crammed in instead.) It's getting to the point where having the know-how plus equipment to lift a cab is becoming outright essential if you don't want to pay thousands for routine maintenance.
ufhghfggf··on Ford's $3900 electric crate motor and F-100 concept
Tesla's opposition to Right to Repair has chilled the brand to many frugal car buyers who drive their daily beater 20+ years and 300,000+ miles. Being able to buy an affordable electric crate motor will open up the world of electric to those who like to keep their technology for the long haul.
ufhghfggf··on U.S. Recession Probabilities September 2021: 44%
Curiously it still "predicted" the early 2020 COVID recession gray bar, but it of course could not have predicted it before Wuhan's patient zero, so I guess it has a way of being sometimes lucky. (Or, if the chart truly is to be believed by its faithful, then the early 2020 recession would have happened even without COVID.)
ufhghfggf··on Could the U.S. Lose a War with China over Taiwan?
For every 100 men that would volunteer to endure enemy fire, how many of those 100 would volunteer to have the young girl in the video discipline them for their lack of microagression awareness? How many of those 100 will assume she will be promoted to higher paygrades than they ever will? How many of those 100 will get the impression that girls like her will be deciding which foxholes they lay in while guided Chinese smart munitions rain down? Rather than speculate I would love this study to actually be done. Randomly sample 200 men who show up in recruitment centers. Show one group of 100 the "my two moms" cartoon and the other group of 100 a video more like the Chinese or Russian one. Then see how many of each group of 100 afterwards say, "Ya' know, on second thought, training to be a carpenter or plumber ain't so bad."
ufhghfggf··on Could the U.S. Lose a War with China over Taiwan?
> obvious that men and women are targeted differently

But men see the ads targeted at women.

"We sleep safely at night because rough men stand ready to visit violence on those who would harm us."

If the rough men the USA needs see that ad they might have second thoughts about military service being a fit.

ufhghfggf··on U.S. Recession Probabilities September 2021: 44%
Historically the gold standard for predicting recession, more accurate than any other indicator, is "10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity (T10Y2Y)":

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/T10Y2Y/

The gray bars are recessions and downward slopes precede recessions. At least all the way back 1976.

Has anything fundamentally changed that makes this no longer accurate?

EDIT: this comment has been downvoted with no explanation why. Perhaps the HN economist who downvoted me would be kind enough to teach us all the flaws of this predictor?

ufhghfggf··on Could the U.S. Lose a War with China over Taiwan?
Five minute video compares military recruitment ads for (1.) China, (2.) Russia, (3.) USA:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Kfe6d6MzeLM

Summary: Chinese and Russian ads focus on discplined men training themselves for war. The USA ad is about a girl raised by two lesbian mothers who joins because, in her own words, "...I need my own adventures...."

There's pure comedic gold in the comments.

'Russian soldier also has two mothers: biological mom, and MOTHER RUSSIA!!!'

ufhghfggf··on Engelbart's Violin (2012)
Engelbart's chording system wasn't faster than QWERTY, but chording systems of the stenographic sort are the fastest way to get fingers accurately typing words, allowing over 200-300WPM for mortals. A major source of error with QWERTY is timing. We type "teh" instead of "the" if 'e' lands 1/100th of a second before 'h'. Or we type "THe" when we meant "The" because the Shift key is error prone to hold and release just right.

Piano is known to be very hard but it forgives keys being a few milliseconds off because the ear can't hear if a C-G chord was actually C-3-milliseconds-before-G or G-3-milliseconds-before-C. (The wavelengths of the notes themselves contribute to the latency of the ear precisely determining the order each note was struck.)

So stenographic chording systems help eliminate the error of having to exactly time the ordering of key-up and key-down events. If laptops shipped with steno keyboards they'd be faster and more pleasurable to use but "good enough is the worst enemy of best" I suppose. Shakespeare and Tolstoy didn't need high speed text input systems to write all their masterpieces. Modern computerized systems for writing musical scores haven't given modern society an abundance of Beethovens and Mozarts cranking out works like the 9th Symphony and the Magic Flute at 100 measures per minute.

Funny, as I write this comment my thinking is beginning to evolve to consider that maybe we would be better off using Engelbart's speed limited 40WPM system after all? If the effort to post a comment on political Twitter were higher maybe we'd have higher quality political discussion thereon? If I had to write this HN comment long hand with quill and ink I think I would have been compelled to get my point across with half as many words....

ufhghfggf··on Apple Reports Fourth Quarter Results
Drug lord Pablo Escobar once burned $2 million cash to keep his family warm while they were hiding in a cave. It is also said he lost 1 billion cash per year due to rats eating the bills and/or dampness spoiling them.

References:

https://www.businessinsider.com/pablo-escobar-burned-2-milli...

http://www.hoaxorfact.com/celebrities/drug-lord-pablo-escoba...

ufhghfggf··on Penguin is no longer the owner of the copyright to The Tao of Pooh
It's like that old joke about King Solomon's 700 wives and 300 concubines: "He tells me I'm one in a thousand!"
ufhghfggf··on Apple may boot Facebook from the App Store over human trafficking concerns
Are Facebook and Instagram unusable on mobile Safari, which bypasses the App Store? (I haven't used FB/Insta for years, so I'm not asking a rhetorical question here: I really don't know and I'm genuinely curious.) I do know that viable mobile browser video games that bypass the App Stores are currently impossible to do on both mobile Safari and Android Chrome because I recently tried. Dark patterns are employed, including adding a typical 300ms audio latency to the Web Audio API on Android Chrome[1], and making WebGL perform terrible on iOS Safari, preventing WebGL from going full screen, preventing accelerometer/gyro input "for privacy reasons" etc.

[1] Superpowered Android audio latency test database shows how awful Android web audio latency is:

https://superpowered.com/latency

ufhghfggf··on Musical components important for the Mozart K448 effect in epilepsy
Quality performance of K448:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VIItKRaP2vc

ufhghfggf··on Newsom signs legislation to boost California’s housing supply
How much of her $100M+ fortune has she donated to charity? Almost none that I can see. Bill Gates and Warren Buffett have committed to giving nearly all their billions to charity but Paul and Nancy Pelosi are using their $100M+ to establish multi-generational trust fund wealth for their children and family.
ufhghfggf··on Newsom signs legislation to boost California’s housing supply
This will do nothing. CA has a low median property tax rate[1] of 0.74%, which allows rich elites and foreign speculators to buy empty lots of land and let them sit unused for decades while waiting for them to go up in value. This low property tax rate allows rich rent-seekers to buy up properties and then rent them out to people who can't get the big loans the landed aristocracy can. So we now have a record number of young people living with their parents, especially in expensive places like CA. Newsom is rich, as are his donors, as is Nancy Pelosi, and they have no interest in raising the property taxes of the mansions they live in and their investment properties they don't live in.

[1] http://www.tax-rates.org/taxtables/property-tax-by-state

ufhghfggf··on Tesla's New Steering Yoke Shows Little Benefit and Potential Safety Pitfalls
A "rectangular wheel" has a safety edge case that circular wheels don't: if the rectangular wheel is lowered too close to the driver's thighs, the bottom corners of the rectangle will collide with the driver's thighs when rotating the rectangle all the way left or right, and the driver might not realize this until already under way. Such rectangular wheels are standard in Formula 1 cars[1] but an F1 cockpit is tailor-made for each driver such that the driver can't mis-adjust the wheel height.

[1] https://duckduckgo.com/?q=formula+1+steering+wheel&iax=image...

ufhghfggf··on A Dyson sphere around a black hole
Edited to add a winky face after reading up on Poe's law [ https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Poe's_law ].
ufhghfggf··on A Dyson sphere around a black hole
Because we think intelligent alien life has nothing better to do than destroy the natural beauty of star systems in order to power their crypto-coin mining rigs and video game cards. ;-)