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vm

1,370 karma · joined July 19, 2011

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vm··on What happened in 2017
You're fed up after one year... Imagine what it's like for those of us who are judged in worse ways than being accused of having power. Literally hundreds of years of being called thieves, hoodlums, idiots and worse, being harassed and assaulted by authority, because of race/gender. I agree with you -- the generalizations suck and I'm tired of it too.
vm··on Morgan Stanley says the true price of Bitcoin might be zero
Agreed - this MS analysis is weak. More of a press piece without much critical thinking. See this link below for the best analysis I've read on Bitcoin, from a hedge fund that started buying it in 2015 and now has it as 50% of AUM.

http://millervalue.com/a-value-investors-case-for-bitcoin/

vm··on Why We're Updating the Minimum BitPay Payment Amount to $100
Could you elaborate on which merchants use BCH? Would love to see any data you've come across or even anecdotes
vm··on Novogratz Halts Hedge Fund, Says Bitcoin May Drop to $8,000
He could be massively shorting it and using negative press to panic retail investors into selling, driving down prices further (and increasing profits on his short).

Not uncommon for public equity hedge funds. Makes sense that someone would do it in the wild west of cryptocurrencies.

vm··on Mining Bitcoin with pencil and paper: 0.67 hashes per day (2014)
Ignoring the racism baked into that comment, smart people in China probably have more job opportunities than ever, with greater opportunity for wealth creation. China has one of the hottest tech industries in the world: Tencent and Alibaba each have market caps above $450B USD, and Baidu, JD, and NetEase are all in the $50-80B range. All these companies are rapidly growing. Not to mention the booming startup ecosystem across the country.
vm··on Grit is a muscle, train it
Rooting for you.
vm··on F.C.C. Repeals Net Neutrality Rules
Voting multiple times doesn't happen, at least not easily. The U.S. voting system requires people to register ahead of time. They are assigned a specific voting location. When that person arrives s/he must verify their address/some info.

Certainly not fool-proof, but enough hurdles to weed out fraud. Seems to work as voter fraud is minimal.

vm··on Facebook Will Introduce Ads as Videos Start, a Move Long Resisted
How often do you use Instagram, Snap, iMessage/SMS, WhatsApp, Messenger, or other social apps? Curious whether you get that "fix" elsewhere or if it yes/no for just FB.

Thinking about it more, all media should be in the running, from HN to Netflix, because it's really about time spent.

vm··on Target to Buy Shipt for $550M
Allegedly it tried to buy Casper for $1B but the company declined to sell and had Target invest instead https://www.recode.net/2017/5/19/15659562/target-casper-inve...
vm··on Facebook wants your children's mind
> As one becomes more dependant on it for communicating, they can do worse and worse things and it'll be harder and harder to say no.

Yeah, that explains why younger generations care less about data privacy. Already the convenience is hard to beat.

vm··on Facebook wants your children's mind
Damn. Sorry to hear. FB wasn't around when I was in grade school. I hope they make tools to clamp down on bullying. And that people act better, regardless.
vm··on Facebook wants your children's mind
You're implying that Facebook is addictive and, yeah, that seems to be the case. Good point.
vm··on Comcast is injecting 400+ lines of JavaScript into web pages
All the more reason for ISP competition. The government will be slow to (or just won't) police this behavior so the ideal is to enable customers to quickly replace awful service providers with alternatives.
vm··on Facebook wants your children's mind
Part of me thinks the the anti-Facebook media sentiment is because Facebook replaced newspapers/magazines as the highly profitable media aggregator. Old media struggles for relevance and lashes out at Facebook, the new winner.

Facebook makes fantastic communications tool and gives them away for a whopping $0. I love staying aware of what's going on with my grandparents, old classmates, friends, and family, AND not having to directly pay money for this.

I would love to hear other perspectives.

EDIT: Downvote away, but my point is that people pick on Facebook for privacy concerns but we all know it's an advertising company (probably the best the world has ever seen). It also operates the best communications tools the world has ever seen and it doesn't get enough credit for that. In 2006, the News Feed was publicly bemoaned because of privacy issues and it's now the core product. Facebook has built great tools over time, even when people didn't initially agree. Not trying to incite anger, just pushing toward a debate.

vm··on Three Uber security managers resign after CEO criticizes practices
This article from First Round Capital outlines the modern tech company approach: http://firstround.com/review/why-you-need-two-chiefs-in-the-...

Tl;dr - CoS stands in for the CEO in meetings, fills her in on what's going on across the organization (or outside of it), and overall leverages her time. It's beyond someone who just does scheduling but short of being COO, which entails direct reports and accountability.

vm··on Things Many People Find Too Obvious to Have Told You Already
Bankruptcy can definitely be in the creditor's interest. It can take possession of the company's assets, and then sell them off to recover principal (in addition to many other outcomes - bankruptcy is complicated).

Debt incentives do not align with equity.

vm··on Things Many People Find Too Obvious to Have Told You Already
No no no. Debt is not universally better. Debt can wipe out companies. It requires payments that equity does not. Miss one payment and you're in default. It's extremely risky for companies that are young and volatile.

Debt vs. equity is always a case-by-case situation. Debt is cheaper but comes with strings attached. Equity is pricey but more flexible.

vm··on Peter Thiel sells most of remaining Facebook stake
This is non-news. The sale was "part of a previously established trading plan" -- VCs set these up all the time to slowly sell off shares in a way that's not disruptive to companies. If you owned 10% of a company and sold all that stock in one swoop, you would crater the stock price and piss off employees. Thiel had already sold over a $1B worth of shares by 2016 and FB stock is up 60%+ this year.
vm··on Uber Paid Hackers to Delete Stolen Data on 57M People
Even larger fines seem to draw weak behavior change. The U.S. corporate structure is remarkable in that sense. It shields employees (especially executives who often don't carry out orders) from criminal and financial responsibility for their actions.
vm··on Google will ‘de-rank’ RT articles to make them harder to find – Eric Schmidt
RT is Russia Today, which is funded by the Russian government. Sputnik, the other media outlet mentioned in the article, is similarly funded by the Russian government. Their Wikipedia pages imply that both are use for Russian government propaganda... in case anyone else also needed background context.
vm··on Will.i.am's startup raises $117M, enters enterprise market
Here's a video of the product if you're as curious as I was. Siri/Alexa for enterprise users -- https://iamplus.com/enterprise/

Seems like a smart market entry point. Enterprise employee virtual assistants are probably a wide open market today because Apple, Google, Amazon, Microsoft, and Samsung focus on consumer AIs. Easy to envision a startup getting solid, near-term customer traction with a keyword-driven voice product.

vm··on I can no longer recommend MailChimp
LinkedIn has been one of the most infuriating CAN-SPAM violators for years. So many startups do too. "Growth hacking" is probably a net negative to society based on all the spam it produces.
vm··on Why Snapchat Spectacles failed
I was a Snap power user. Got spectacles very early. Hated the upload UX.

Bluetooth issues galore. Completely stopped using them. As standalone sunglasses, they are inferior to a good $10 pair from amazon - heavier, worse lens quality, and limited viewable area.

vm··on Amazon.com Announces Third Quarter Sales Up 34% to $43.7B
On the other hand, Amazon generates a lot of free cash flow. Roughly $10B worth last year or 7% of revenue (or an impressive 21% of gross profit).

It earns this healthy margin because customers pay Amazon before Amazon pays suppliers. Normal companies have to fund their businesses by raising debt or equity, whereas Amazon gets free loans from merchants. Exceptional way to fund growth.

vm··on Capital-As-a-Service: A New Operating System for Early Stage Investing
Obviously they didn't invent financial analysis.

They built a system that does this at scale: 1) collects and organizes the right data and spits out analysis -- this can be painful from the many times I've done it. Investment banks hire armies of young analysts and pay them six figures to do this at scale 2) made it self-serve for entrepreneurs seeking funding -- not having to do the CRM/pipeline mgmt process associated with private investing is a massive efficiency improvement. VCs hire associates and partners and pay them handsomely to do this at small scale (hundreds of deals seen / year / professional)

As someone who has done a lot of private investing, the value here is obvious and substantial for the investors and the entrepreneurs.

vm··on Capital-As-a-Service: A New Operating System for Early Stage Investing
Genius. Finally, someone it taking a "moneyball" approach to VC. The critical comments on this thread have missed the point.

Although the author is vague, it sounds like they built a system to analyze company metrics and thus screen investments at scale. This enables them to see more investments around the world, and makes it easier for entrepreneurs to "pitch" them, because they don't need to do the time consuming, typical Silicon Valley pitch process. Many more companies can get funded this way. And those investments will be less competitive and garner lower valuations (implying better returns). Again... genius.

vm··on Gmail Launches Add-ons
The Inbox (by Gmail) mobile app has this. "Pin" an email and you can write whatever you want to remember to do later.

It's awesome.

vm··on Alphabet's Sidewalk Labs to turn 800 acres of Toronto into an “internet city”
Reminds me of eye-scan advertising in Minority Report: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7bXJ_obaiYQ
vm··on The Crash of ’87, from the Wall Street Players Who Lived It
Black-Scholes was prescient went it first hit the scene in the late 60s/early 70s. Ed Thorp (who independently derived the formula before B-S published it) made tens of millions of dollars applying it through his statistical arbitrage hedge fund. It was the most accurate predictor at the time.

It's also remarkable that four people independently derived the formula: "In coming up with a trading strategy for warrants, Ed discovered a handy formula. A few years later, three finance professors independently came up with their own slight mathematical variant of the same formula. Ed Thorp, Myron Scholes, Robert Merton, and Fischer Black all had almost the same formula, but each had a different reason for believing it was true. Ed showed that it was a way to make money..." Source: The Poker Face of Wall Street (Wiley 2006)

vm··on Movies Anywhere App Launches with Joint Studio Backing
Is this just a digital locker for movies? Other HN comments seem excited about this but I think it will be irrelevant for most users. When I used to digitally buy/rent movies, I would watch them that same day and then be done, so a "locker" feels like an insignificant problem. Maybe I have uncommon usage.

Netflix is brain-dead easy to use. I don't always know what I want to watch so I browse and can watch anything. Movies Anywhere sounds like more work than it's worth.

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