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icu

1,010 karma · joined July 24, 2013

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icu··on Post Office plan to sack Horizon IT reviewer kept secret, documents reveal
I think this is a similar situation where business leaders and managers get away from any meaningful repercussions just like in the '08 negligence of regulators and bankers, or with Grenfell tower where the cladding vendor managers faked the tests, or knew of the faked tests. I think the issue comes down to the link between business and Government and how to save itself from embarrassment and extra work rectifying the situation, civil servants and ministers will try to speed up the cover up.
icu··on Where do our atoms come from?
Beautifully put, thank you
icu··on Boot legacy PCs from NVMe storage
You can do this with Linux easily as long as your bios allows you to boot from USB. Just put /boot on the USB and everything else on the NVMe (via PCI Express to NVMe card). This trick has allowed me to save several old PCs and use them as home servers and for my home lab.
icu··on That Time I Posted Myself Out Of a Job
This situation is complicated and I've noticed most of the top posters saying they would fire the employee immediately. However, the behaviour expectations weren't communicated properly post acquisition and it's really the company's management who are responsible for protecting the company from these situations. Imho the situation is something like, it's the employee's fault, but not their responsibility. Management should have done a lot more to prevent this happening and communicate to all employees expectations in a clear way. Imho the VP should have taken the L, communicated a clear policy and then dealt with the angry customer personally. This whole sacrificial 'fire the employee' thing makes the company and the VP look weak and pathetic. It's much harder to meditate and communicate towards an amicable resolution.
icu··on Psychedelic brew ayahuasca’s profound impact revealed in brain scans
Do you think you could shift back into that "10x more confident self" consciously without the Ayahuasca?
icu··on Telehealth startup Cerebral shared millions of patients’ data with advertisers
America is really atrocious when it comes to data protection accountability. I wonder if Cerebral customers will have to sue in a class action to get any legal recourse.
icu··on UK expected to be only major economy to shrink in 2023 – IMF
Imho the UK post Brexit lacks political leadership that knows how to manoeuvre the competing political factions within the Conservative party and balance the short-term and long-term economic pressures it faces.

Trump was the UK's best chance at a US trade deal and the terms were too unpalatable for the Conservatives. This imho was a self inflicted economic injury. Demographically most of the West (including the EU) is in terminal demographic decline and in particular the European flavour of socialism (i.e. a deep belief that the State is a necessary part of economic development) will start to fail under the crushing weight of an ever larger aging population.

The US and Mexico will be the most important growth export market for the UK going forward into the next several decades, and the cost of a trade deal with the US will increase the longer the UK gets desperate.

Alternatively the UK could try to create a Commonwealth free trade zone (and include the 2nd most important market India) but that takes imagination and leadership that again I think is lacking.

icu··on Ask HN: Have students started questioning their curriculums due to ChatGPT?
I use GPT3 to work out bodies of knowledge in specialist areas I’m interested in and then get it to suggest books and MOOCs that cover the topics.
icu··on Macroeconomic changes have made it impossible for me to want to pay you
I think one of the hard truths is that corporate managers and executives are often disconnected from the decisions they are making and the negative impacts of those decisions are pushed on to employees.

There aren't many solutions to this problem besides better voluntary ethical treatment of employees or compulsory enforcement via a set of professional standards set by a 'management body', a 'management regulator' or well written employment laws.

However, having said this, I don't think many US based management or executives would want to be constrained in this way due to cultural perspectives around capitalism. I've spent a lot of time thinking why socialist policies are part of the zeitgeist in the UK but not the US. I think it's due to a historical hangover of industrialization and having a society where there was the rapid exploitation of workers and especially children. I think socialism in the form of worker rights and healthcare was an upper-society response to squalor and destitution being in the face of the political elite in London. My somewhat jaded view is that socialist policies in the UK are setup so that instead of the wealthy paying for a greater proportion of the negative externalities caused by industrialization and capitalism, everyone, would pay in an "equal" way. However equal isn't quite equitable because National Insurance employee deductions are capped out at 2% above a salary threshold of £4,189 a month.

No I'm not saying capitalism is bad or that socialism doesn't have problems. I think free market capitalism is good in many cases, it just needs to be constrained by high ethical standards. However, I don't think free market capitalism can solve all the challenges we face in society and Western democracies need a Government mechanism to address wealth inequality otherwise the foundations of society start to break down.

In comparison the US, with it's vast land mass and varied dispersed resources, industrialized in a more distributed way, the exploitive effect of industrialization was far away from Washington DC. Even now I think US politicians still don't viscerally understand the human suffering caused by the hollowing out of blue collar jobs due to globalization.

For a time I thought 'triple bottom line' might work, but it seems like ESG has taken over with an emphasis on the environment and not people. While I care deeply about Mother Earth, realistically I think people who are struggling to survive have no mental space to consider their environmental impact.

icu··on El Salvador’s Historic Digital Asset Securities Law Passes
The question is, at what cost, and with what legitimacy?

Too often despots and their cronies get countries into economic trouble, countries that have been taken advantaged by Western interests for hundreds of years.

When the country collapses, the IMF and World Bank subjugate the country to Western interests further often to the destruction of the environment and detriment to upward mobility of the population.

Using statistics like reduction of extreme poverty or wage growth when not taking into account other factors like inflation or mortality for example does not help when discussing the complex topic of the IMF and the World Bank and if these institutions are a net benefit to the impoverished.

icu··on Ask HN: What mindset change made the biggest positive change for you?
What's for you won't pass you. Maybe you just needed that message, at that time, in that way.

That said, I'm glad you're able to identify and parse out the less positive aspects of his perspective.

If you're looking for a similar no nonsense, but without the more controversial and negative aspects I recommend looking into David Goggins.

icu··on Ask HN: What mindset change made the biggest positive change for you?
Thank you for the comment. The word that struck me most in your reply was "absurd". It's a very accurate description. I had always thought the word "horror" was a good label, and "cosmic horror" was a good way of describing a suffering life where you eventually die.

We are like cosmic ants on our little ant hill of a planet that can be kicked over by any number of events not least self inflicted annihilation through nuclear war.

It makes sense to me that most people without meaning will fall into distraction, hedonism or nihilism.

In a way I was lucky as my meaning was thrust on me as a parent. The best way I've heard it put is that the voluntary acceptance of responsibility creates meaning. That said, I was never going to shirk my responsibilities as a parent.

Having someone else who needed me gave me the meaning necessary to endure enormous suffering, to never let go, and to keep pushing through.

If I wasn't a parent I don't know how I would have done.

It's strange now to reflect because my life is so much better now and I'm oddly thankful for the ordeal.

icu··on Ask HN: What mindset change made the biggest positive change for you?
Switching from seeking happiness to seeking meaning. Happiness is fleeting, and at some stretches of time, out of reach.

Meaning is a more solid foundation to build a life around. It will get you through dark times, but it surprised me how much more I appreciated happiness as a result.

icu··on TSMC says efforts to rebuild US semiconductor industry are doomed to fail
Post-Covid, supply chains will be moved back to North America as Governments and companies adapt to the changing geopolitical climate that the demographic collapse will create. I think some of the industrial plant will locate in the US, but a lot of it will locate in Mexico, which has a location advantage, far better demographics than China, and cheap labor compared to both the US and China (Chinese average wages are actually higher than Mexican average wages).

I think TSMC knows that tech is at the top of a pyramid that relies on industrialization and military might to secure it. IMHO we are going into a very unsecure future where we will see an accelerated decline in all the factors that contributed to globalization. In particular, I worry a lot about food security and supply when global markets in fertilizer are disrupted, energy security when global markets in fossil fuels are disrupted, and manufacturing of all goods when commodity markets are disrupted. As much as I want a clean energy and EV revolution in my estimation, it cannot happen without Russian raw materials.

Furthermore, unless there are amazing leaps or breakthroughs in energy generation, energy storage, and food production without fertilizer, the rest of the world—but not the US—will be in for an uncomfortable few decades.

TSMC executives will of course try to influence US politicians, but I think US politicians know that US voters are fatigued with foreign military excursions. US active-duty numbers are already historically low, and I suspect this has to do with difficulty with recruitment. I think it is fair to ask, "Am I defending my country by fighting China in Taiwan?"

icu··on Normalising Layoffs/Firing
I completely agree with the sentiment. If you're an entrepreneur I think you've got a responsibility to your employees who are counting on their paycheck to not screw up. I think where it goes wrong is with entrepreneurs who:

a) Come from a financially privileged background and have never experienced living paycheck to paycheck or losing a job they needed due to a "necessary corporate restructure" or staff cuts.

b) Come from a 'blitz-growth' ideological stance (and VCs) that see new venture as a winner-take-all 'grow big or blowup' world.

These entrepreneurs (and the people backing them) talk about the virtues of teamwork and ethics but it's all secondary to their greed.

If I was an employee I would stay away from such people, the problem is employees have no idea who they're working for until it becomes too late.

The way I see it, employees are paid first and entrepreneurs (and by extension investors) deserve profits because they're paid last.

However, if capitalism is abusive people aren't going to tolerate it and entrepreneurs will find themselves in an ever difficult political environment where taxes will erode the risk premium successful entrepreneurs enjoy.

icu··on Ask HN: What's Your Biggest Regret?
Be very careful with who you shack up with. Don't settle for partners that mess you around or manipulate you. Make sure you take precautions. The last thing you want is to have a baby with someone who isn't a good person.
icu··on GeForce RTX 40 Series
I completely agree. In the past I dropped a ton of money on gaming rig hardware that aged like milk. With a console you get the advantage of exclusives, majority of PC game releases, and a longer upgrade cycle versus a gaming rig. If you own a PS5, you got the PS VR2 coming out soon at a decent price point. If you own an Xbox, add in the amazing value of the Xbox Games Pass and I just don't see the need to be subsidising Hardware Manufacturers' bottom lines anymore.
icu··on Ubuntu 22.10 Aiming to Support the $16 Sipeed LicheeRV RISC-V Board
Anyone here looking to use this in IoT projects, can you please say what you're looking at doing, and why you'd use this versus a Raspberry Pi?
icu··on Adobe to acquire Figma for $20B
Gimp and Inkscape are incredible PhotoShop and Illustrator alternatives. I'll have to check out Hugin, thanks for the tip!
icu··on Adobe to acquire Figma for $20B
RIP Figma, I've been trying to avoid Adobe products since they charge the earth for their products and free open source options are solid alternatives. I'm expecting Adobe to eventually price gouge us to the point where we are forced to find a Figma alternative.
icu··on Show HN: Make 3D art in your browser using Lisp and math
This is awesome, how did you implement the live code editor?
icu··on Cheating at chess with a computer for my shoes
I'd be interested if any HN members consider James Stanley a 'cyborg' with the shoes on?

From what I've found on Wikipedia, it sounds like wearing the shoes is an, "integration of some artificial component or technology that relies on some sort of feedback."

This got me thinking that the Nike shoes Marty wore in Back to the Future 2 could also be considered a cybernetics enhancement.

To what degree does a device need to be integrated with a human body for that human not to be considered a human any more?

icu··on Researchers: World can reach 100% renewable energy system by/before 2050
The issue isn't that we as a race can reach 100% renewable energy, it's at what cost? Right now displacing fossil fuels comes at such an enormous financial cost it's an all of humanity thing or none (or very little) of humanity thing. Also there would be such high costs for poor nations that rich nations would have to pay way more than their proportional share. Sadly it's wishful thinking to get the entire human population/their respective representatives and despots to agree to solve this problem. Our best hope is that a new technological solution with near zero marginal cost emerges and displaces fossil fuels as much as possible.
icu··on Show HN: Inflation-adjusted stock charts – Total Real Returns
I'm not sure I see the link between understanding exponential growth and Shadow Stats? Shadow Stats holds the CPI definition constant over the time period, whereas Uncle Sam jukes the CPI however way he's feeling for "reasons". The reason why I suggested Shadow Stats was that it seems like compumike is trying to show the change in purchasing power over time with https://totalrealreturns.com/.

It's a fantastic idea trying to make the concept of the time value of money, and purchasing power more accessable to the masses. It probably took a lot of work and I appreciate the effort. Imho the correct way to do this is to hold as many variables constant over the timeseries.

My point is that since official CPI isn't constant, and imho a bad measure of inflation anyway, using M2 or Shadow Stats woudl be the better way to go.

icu··on Gamedevs not baking in monetization are “fucking idiots”, says Unity CEO
Thank you for explaining my recent videogame behaviour. I think the last AAAs I played through was Ghost of Tsushima and the Demon Souls remake. I feel less inclined to play AAAs and I find myself gravitating to Gris, Sable, Untitled Goose Game and Trek to Yomi to name a few.
icu··on Show HN: Inflation-adjusted stock charts – Total Real Returns
Sorry for your investment woes.

I think part of the problem is established dogma (and regulatory regime) that believes bonds offer diversification from stocks. However this seems to have broken down post 2008, as they have become increasingly correlated.

Imho it's healthy to expect that market regimes change, especially since we do not operate in free market, but a semi-intervined market (where the Fed sets the price of money which is an incredibly important input to the global economy).

I also think it's important to not think of diversification in terms of asset classes anymore, but in terms of alpha source.

I know this is much harder to do because, as far as I know, only by actively trading can you isolate and quantify alpha sources like this.

icu··on Show HN: Inflation-adjusted stock charts – Total Real Returns
So you used CPI as your inflation measure? I personally don't think CPI or RPI is a good inflation yardstick, because the calculations change over time. For consistency I would suggest you try Shadow Stats or the year on year growth of the M2 money supply.
icu··on “The joy of sharing has been driven from me“
I think you got to discount points of view from the perspective of how valuable their perspective is to your goal. The problem with social media and open forums is that it’s not obvious and takes time to figure out who’s who.

Having said that, it seems a little childish to me that Ron just shut down the haters. I think that there might be a bit of his ego attached to the outcome versus the process. I can only speculate that perhaps he wanted recognition and adulation for this bold choice and was hurt when feedback didn’t match expectations.

Sure people might be rude about it, but it seems that there is clearly a market for the retro pixelated aesthetic, so why not give people what they want if his goal is to satisfy the fan base and continue the story? I have no doubt the story, set, characters and jokes will be great. I guess the comment asking for Ron to do a Sonic might have been too on the nose for him.

I think that any creator has to reconcile that if they create for others, their art becomes something more than just theirs, like a sort of reflexive co-creation.

Seems to me the best artists understand this while not letting it stifle their creativity.

icu··on We are unable to refund mistaken purchases, and/or if you don't like the game
I thought this might break distance selling rules in the UK but it seems like you can "contract out" for streaming and download products as long as you get the customer to accept a no refund policy prior to purchase.

Source: https://www.gov.uk/online-and-distance-selling-for-businesse...

Imho this is sharp business practice and one of the reasons I still buy physical video games.

If there are any lawyers lurking, can this refund policy be circumvented if purchasing with a Credit Card under Section 75 of the Consumer Credit Act? I'm assuming you'd need to somehow prove it wasn't what you expected (accidental purchase)?

icu··on Crypto lending company Babel Finance halts redemptions and withdrawals
Thanks. I also evaluated Celsius (and others) but decided that I couldn't determine counterparty risk after reading their terms and conditions. In the end I stayed away because of that.
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