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jiggyjace

62 karma · joined March 30, 2021

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jiggyjace··on House passes bill to force TikTok sale from Chinese owner or ban the app
More or less. Since the 1790s the USA has regulated banks, communications, energy, and technology situations in similar fashion: https://www.cbc.ca/news/world/tiktok-vote-house-5-things-1.7...
jiggyjace··on Emoji Generator with AI
Awesome idea, but I gave it a couple of tries for "software integration" and "integrated" and both times gave me a massive 9x9 grid of disturbing emoji faces peeling off the screen like stickers. Likely broken.
jiggyjace··on Oregon decriminalized hard drugs – early results aren’t encouraging
> “We’re building the plane as we fly it,” Haven Wheelock, a program supervisor at a homeless-services provider in Portland who helped put Measure 110 on the ballot, told me. “We tried the War on Drugs for 50 years, and it didn’t work … It hurts my heart every time someone says we need to repeal this before we even give it a chance.”

Saying this is not the logical conclusion one might think it is. It's not a problem where there are only two solutions.

jiggyjace··on Monday was hottest day for global average temperature, as climate crisis bites
Hottest day recorded, likely since 1871 (1), but actually we don't know because the article doesn't offer that information. The Earth has been around much longer though.

(1): https://data.noaa.gov/onestop/collections/details/55bedd68-b...

jiggyjace··on Monday was hottest day for global average temperature, as climate crisis bites
I think it's unwise to constantly associate normal temperature fluctuations with any threat to civilization. If anything, it might be a leading indicator of mass migration. But we shouldn't ignore evidence to the contrary, mass influx of population towards warm areas, like the Sun Belt. If anything, humanity has increased in its capabilities to live in hot temperatures.
jiggyjace··on Meta announces its Quest 3 VR headset
Personal computers were considered just toys with very little real-world value for a long time too. And you might be limiting your thinking with VR/AR. Do you or anyone you know use face filters? That's AR. Lots of the rising generation are already stoked in VR/AR. Also Meta Quest 2 has sold 15 million headsets, that's hardly something to scoff at.
jiggyjace··on Breakthrough deal to prevent Colorado River from drying up
As someone who grew up in Phoenix and just bought a house here, I've been trying to responsibly educate myself in terms of how big of a crisis this might be. But I've found that a lot of comments, headlines, and judgment calls on this topic are just hilarious. Mainly because it's one of the simplest topics with which to find appropriate historical context and data. I'll show two examples.

Picking apart this particular headline, perhaps a few of us are wondering how close the Colorado River is from drying up? My subjective measurement is that a river drying up would constitute 5% of its average discharge, or even less. The USGS tracks multiple key indicators on the Colorado River, including discharge at certain gauges along the river. From 1952 to 2022, the average is about 5,900 cubic feet per second. The worst year in the history of tracking the Colorado was 21 years ago, 2,417 cubic feet per second, or 40% of average discharge. That's 8 times what I would personally qualify as a dried up river. Compare that to the mighty Mississippi, which averages 208,833 cubic feet per second each year. Now their worst year was 1956, 93,990 cubic feet per second, or 45% of their average discharge. So the Mississippi is statistically fairly as variable in its discharge as the Colorado river, albeit with much more water. And anyway, that's only 9 times my personal qualification. I know these aren't universal measurements, but I hope this allows me to prove a point. The Mississippi River and the Colorado River aren't all that different in variability, and neither of them are even close to drying up. But it's the cities that are closer to the Mississippi River that are actually having water problems -- not Arizona (e.g. Jackson, MS had a water crisis where the National Guard was mobilized to help 150k residents with drinking water just last year). [1]

In the last two decades, the SW has been experiencing extreme drought, and all the while it's one of the fastest growing regions in the US. For example, since the 1950s, Arizona has grown from 700,000 to over 7,000,000, all while using less water. Yep, it's true. Remember that when people point to more neighborhoods, golf courses, and "cities in the desert" as the reason for this 'crisis'. [2]

With all that being said, my personal judgment is that there's a very real drought that is just about to conclude, as seen from recent projections of El Nińo, heavy snowpack and rainfall this winter in the region, and water conservation technology improving at an exponential scale. The Southwest will continue growing, especially due to immigration from South America and Mexico and recent onshoring due to the China/Russia crisis into the next few decades. And the water situation is going to be fine the whole way.

[1] - https://waterdata.usgs.gov/nwis/annual/?referred_module=sw&a... [2] - https://www.azcentral.com/story/news/local/arizona-environme...

jiggyjace··on How to quit cars
I'm really surprised this article is gaining any sort of traction on this site, as it hardly talks of anything to do with the headline, yet that hasn't dissuaded hundreds of comments discussing their own ideas to answering the question.
jiggyjace··on Searches for VPN Soar in Utah Amidst Pornhub Blockage
There's nothing happening in Utah that is establishing a theocracy that requires you must attend and worship a certain religion.
jiggyjace··on We need a new economics of water as a common good
All of the food consumed anywhere has to get shipped in because of globalization... Because that's the most efficient thing. And golf courses only use 4 acre feet of water for each acre of golf course. In the grand scheme of half a million acre feet of water that Vegas takes from Lake Mead, it sure is efficient given how worried it makes people who don't even live there.
jiggyjace··on Today's 5-year-olds will likely live to 100
Phoenix being unlivable is such a fearmongered point. Much of Arizona is already out of extreme drought, and is set up to be extremely livable due to solar & nuclear power plus innovations made in air conditioning and pulling water out of the air.

Sources: AZ drought monitor: https://www.drought.gov/states/arizona

The most powerful nuclear plant is in AZ: https://electricenergyonline.com/article/energy/category/gen...

Innovations on pulling water from the hot, dry air: https://worldwaterreserve.com/source-hydropanels/

Solar adoption in AZ: https://azbigmedia.com/business/arizona-energy-industry/ariz...

jiggyjace··on Bing AI can't be trusted
Yeah this is my experience cross-checking the article with my own Bing AI. Try and replicate the Appendix section and Bing AI gets everything right for me.
jiggyjace··on Bing AI can't be trusted
Ehhh I found this article to be quite inauthentic about the performance of Bing AI compared to how I have used it. The article didn't even share its prompts, except for the last one about Avatar and today's date (which I couldn't replicate myself, I kept getting correct information). I'm not trying to prove that Bing AI is always correct, but compare it to traditional search, Siri, or Alexa and it's like comparing a home run hitter that sometimes hits foul balls to a 3 year old that barely knows how to pick up the baseball bat.
jiggyjace··on Ask HN: Why Is Everything Declining?
Your post is on the worldwide web. Saying that you notice things getting worse where you are and not saying where "where" is and equating that to everywhere is what the problem is.
jiggyjace··on Ask HN: Why Is Everything Declining?
Lol I'd never imagined I'd see a comment like this here of all places.
jiggyjace··on ChatGPT and the Enshittening of Knowledge
I really disagree with this perspective. In history the democratization of books with the printing press, the entertainment & education industry with YouTube and MOOCs, and now whatever this next movement is with ChatGPT. Let's just face it, it's useless to predict how innovation will impact the future society, but you can always choose to find its most productive uses for it yourself in the meantime. Stop trying to brute force your outdated perspective on how disruptive innovations will impact other people. Unless you have a sample size of the entire ChatGPT audience, or the entire internet, you're going to have a rough time.
jiggyjace··on TSMC ups Arizona investment from $12B to $40B with second semi fab
Arizona is not running out of water. There's a lot of fearmongering surrounding water levels at Lake Mead or with the Colorado river, but Arizona doesn't get the majority of its water from those sources. It also uses 10x less water with a population of 7m as it did in 1950 with a population of 0.7m.

Arizona has a state-of-the-art water portfolio that uses lots of reclaimed water and is not reliant on micro or even macro-climate trends. A megadrought has impacted the area for the last few decades and only now are Arizona cities talking about the needs for conservation and possibly cuts in the next decade or so, but if climate models hold up the drought will be over in that time frame anyway.

jiggyjace··on TSMC to make 4nm chips in Arizona for Apple, AMD, Nvidia
I'm from Arizona and have thus wondered this and researched the perceived water dilemma myself. Fabs do need a considerable injection of water to start, but their systems are so advanced and their logistics so efficient that they end up reusing so much of it over time. Couple this with the fact that Arizona also has a great infrastructure already in place for water reuse and conservation. When Arizona had only 700,000 people in the 1950s, they used more water than they do now for 7,100,000 people. And it's still in the top 3 fastest growing states in the US (both by new relative to existing population, but also by total incoming population volume). Models also indicate that the once-in-a-century drought is coming to an end in the next few years, with huge rainfall amounts the last two years in the state.

There was a great ArsTechnica article and subsequent comment section where many of the water questions are addressed: https://arstechnica.com/gadgets/2021/06/why-do-chip-makers-k...

jiggyjace··on NASA finds super-emitters of methane
'Regulation' is not a solution for countries that do not answer to the morals of the West, such as Turkmenistan, China, or Russia. Regulation should be demonized, for many situations it ends up being a hammer to a screw.
jiggyjace··on Texas solar and wind resources saved consumers nearly $28B over 12 years
That's $37 per month less per customer. Now factor in inflation and rising energy costs and what's the total calculus?
jiggyjace··on Hyperlinks in Handwriting
I was hoping this would be an innovative way to write hyperlinks kind of what bit.ly or QR codes do and then you just point a camera at what you drew and it will go to it.
jiggyjace··on California Declares Grid Emergency
It takes less energy to cool down an interior space by one degree than heat it by one degree. You don't see active water crises in Arizona or California like you have in Jackson, Mississippi.
jiggyjace··on Librarian's Letter to Google Security
This is a great point. My wife and I were attracted to the Google Pixel lineup because they advertised unlimited original quality photo storage through Google Photos. Well they reduced that to just unlimited "high quality" a year or so ago, and I broke my 3A a few months ago. Silly me forgets that newer Google Pixels don't have unlimited photo storage at all, I buy a 5A, and all photos/videos get uploaded to Google Photos and count against my quota. Even though Google technically isn't in the wrong here, I've always felt like I got a rug pull.
jiggyjace··on Notice of termination of Twitter merger agreement
Have you read the termination letter? The letter was sent by Elon's lawyers working with Twitter's lawyers according to the merger terms they had all agreed to. Why shouldn't they have expected a "good faith resolution"? A termination can still be made in M&A under good faith.
jiggyjace··on Rare ‘triple’ La Niña climate event looks likely
I don't know what news you're plugged in to but I'm not worried at all living in the SW US. Phoenix and Tucson had by far their wettest rainy season in decades last year and are projected to have another wet season this year. And the state of AZ uses less water for 10x the population than it did in the 1950s.
jiggyjace··on Dear Spotify, can we just get a table of songs?
Jeez all of my friends and family and I use Spotify and not once have we had issues like this. Luckily there are plenty of other streaming services to use mate
jiggyjace··on We can do better than “same, but electric”
"Climate apocalypse"? Is that what we're calling it now?

Global warming --> climate change --> climate crisis --> climate apocalpyse

What models are you looking at that you're seeing doom and gloom in the next few decades?

jiggyjace··on Today Google is turning on tracking for many users that previously turned it off
Yeah I was just about to ask because I went through my Google Workspace account and tracking is still turned off even though it's already March 29...
jiggyjace··on Show HN: HN Avatars in 357 bytes
Reply here.
jiggyjace··on Economists say that high gas prices triggered the housing crisis in 2007 (2012)
I feel like EV market penetration would need to be pretty insane for a society to be less vulnerable to oil price spikes. For context the US is around 5% EV penetration currently. I don't think that number includes recreational vehicles like RVs, motor boats, motorcycles, ATVs, 4x4s, etc. (most with 0% EV penetration).

But then you have the aspect of electricity generation. Did you know that the US currently generates 4 times as much electricity from oil as most renewables only excluding nuclear (hydro, solar, wind).

Our society is steeped in oil, it's beyond cheap, and there's no indication it's ending any time soon.

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