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stonogo

6,738 karma · joined February 27, 2014

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stonogo··on Tesla to wind down Cybertruck production
It's not just affordability. Range anxiety is real and the consequences for miscalculating how far you can get on a charge are far more dire in rural areas than they are in urban centers. Affordable or not, EVs won't catch on out here until they're at least as convenient to fuel as gassers. Right now high-speed chargers are hard to find and expensive to use, and slow, which is not going to be tolerated when you're trying to tow a horse trailer.
stonogo··on Major Investors Are Skeptical Anthropic IPO Can Achieve $1.5T Valuation
My point is that you're not advancing your argument by considering performance on that long a timeframe. The people worried that Anthropic won't hit $1.5T are concerning themselves with velocity of revenue growth, which has slowed. Harping on absolute increases over the long range doesn't contradict that fact.

It also doesn't do much to disprove the OP's argument which is that the actual models aren't what drive growth. (I'm ignoring the "no business model" claim as either hyperbole or too silly to engage with.) I personally think it doesn't particularly matter which models Anthropic is running because the tools like Claude are what people are actually paying for. Anthropic, at this point, is so far ahead of the competition in the tooling around models that they can probably just start running Deepseek products directly and people would still pay them.

stonogo··on Major Investors Are Skeptical Anthropic IPO Can Achieve $1.5T Valuation
Sorry, I didn't understand that by 'eighteen months' you meant 'two years.' I'm sure if you cherry-pick a number even father back you can make your argument that much stronger!
stonogo··on Starfall – Affordable, routine access to microgravity
> The second problem is it's getting damn near impossible to discuss any aspect of a high profile company, product or even technology without the politics, personalities, or social impacts related to it swallowing everything.

I don't know what you think is supposed to happen after Citizens United v FEC. Corporate money is protected speech. Therefore doing business with a given corporation is inherently a political act. If you don't like it, campaign to overturn that decision, but bitching at the people who are correctly reacting to changes in the political system is not going to accomplish anything, ever.

stonogo··on Major Investors Are Skeptical Anthropic IPO Can Achieve $1.5T Valuation
If they had 100xed their revenue over the past eighteen months nobody would be skeptical. Instead they 17xed their revenue, and Q3 2026 is the first quarter in over a year that revenue hasn't doubled...
stonogo··on OpenSSH 10.6p2 Critical workaround for alpine without PAM
That is generally the practice in professional environments, yes. Many places have an on-call rotation, and those that don't soon discover why. An embargo wouldn't fix that particular problem anyway, because time zones exist.
stonogo··on US voters roundly reject data centers in ballot measures
Except, of course, that farms use unprocessed water for irrigation and datacenters use treated water for cooling. If the project has its own onsite water treatment, and water rights to the aquifer, then that might be fine, but the majority of these projects expect nearby municipal resources at a scale no farm ever has.
stonogo··on WiCi: Connecting GPUs over WiFi
> I have no idea what the concept aims to improve, why it is useful, or how it is an advantage over any other concept.

The sell was "have a box full of compute, and a box full of GPUs, and mix-n-match at provision time." This stuff was directed at cloud providers, so you could let a customer move a slider to pick a core count and a gpu count and spin up a virtual machine without having to rewire any actual PCIe connections (n.b. this was before CXL existed).

Now they're trying to sell it on-prem as a box you throw on your network and provide GPU compute to your machine the way you provide storage with a NAS. Why this instead of just plugging in an eGPU? I dunno... wireless?

stonogo··on Ballot Rejections Have Soared in Rural Counties as USPS Reduces Mail Service
I appreciate the vibe you're going for, but standing in line with your neighbors is also a massive time sink that directly costs people money via lost wages. Making drop-box voting needs-based just places democratic participation in the hands of those who determine who 'needs' and why. A democracy is only as real as its citizens' access to ballots.
stonogo··on Fujifilm to boost tape production 5x as AI fuels archiving demand
That's got worse recently. LTO used to be guaranteed compatible two generations back; an LTO-7 drive can read LTO-6 and LTO-5 tape. With newer standards, they've cut that to one generation. Your point stands, but folks should be aware the treadmill has been sped up in the past few years.
stonogo··on Ballot Rejections Have Soared in Rural Counties as USPS Reduces Mail Service
When you say "why change it" are you not aware that many US states vote by mail (and/or ballot drop boxes) and have for decades? Or are you ignoring it?
stonogo··on Intel stock collapse worsens as $3.5T chip rout spreads
And yet Intel is the one taking a dump here, because it has no moat. People use Wintel because people use Wintel, the same way people bought Gros Michel bananas because people bought Gros Michel bananas. When they went away, people bought something else.
stonogo··on Mystery of 60-Second Fluctuations in Power Grids Solved
BSD cron has supported jitter for decades. This is strictly a linux problem.
stonogo··on Through Captain Jean-Luc Picard, Patrick Stewart taught us the measure of a man
Bowers vs Hardwick was only three years old when this aired. Homosexuality was illegal in half the states in the country, generally prosecuted under anti-sodomy laws. More than half of states still have (currently unenforceable) bans in place on same-sex marriage. The majority of those have them in their state constitutions.

Alabama didn't consider forced sex to be rape if the victim was married to the rapist until 1986. Oklahoma and North Carolina didn't until 1993. Women were not allowed to box in Massachusetts until 1992. Virgina voted against ratifying the Equal Rights Amendment as recently as 2018 (although it ratified it in 2020).

stonogo··on NetBSD adds a new text editor called atto
There is nothing intuitive about any text editor.
stonogo··on Moxnox 1.0: NT-Like, POSIX-Compatible OS Running Atop Btrfs
It sure looks a lot like VMS to me...
stonogo··on SS United States to be sunk as largest artificial reef
Is this post about opiates?
stonogo··on Tesla cancels Cybertruck in Australia and NZ after 7 years of deposits
We already had SUVs.
stonogo··on US Wages Share of GDI at 75 Year Low
This turns out not to be the case.
stonogo··on The U.S. Power Grid
AI and hyperscaler datacenters run at such a high usage rate that they have to coordinate with generating facilities regarding outages. The difference between their actual duty levels and "flat out around the clock" is so small to be negligible when considering grid operations. Not all datacenters fit this category, but the ones that don't are not worth considering in terms of grid planning, either, so again this is a difference worth ignoring.
stonogo··on America has lost 200k of jobs in media, film and the arts. How much is AI?
Nicely sliced. Weekly wages for full time workers have been rising for decades while fewer workers work full time. I don't think this data backs your assertion.
stonogo··on No signs of AI payoff outside the tech sector
Yes, and each iteration of your comment picks a different date and a different 'killer feature' that 'made them usable'
stonogo··on No signs of AI payoff outside the tech sector
The problem with this argument is that people have been saying "it just recently got good" for about two years now.
stonogo··on Wolves enter Finnish villages after Google clears 1300 acres for AI data centers
Estimates I've seen from professionals tend to put that number a couple of orders of magnitude lower.

However, I don't think it's a coincidence that Finland's wolf population was in the headlines last year for growing by half.

stonogo··on Local Democracy's Business Model Is Broken
Local democracy doesn't get to define its own business model, so of course it's broken.

This article is full of Georgist talking points and complaints about the structure of municipal funding, but provides no solutions aside from the land value tax the author's organization was founded to promote. Such a tax is unconstitutional in many American states, and implementing it as presented in this article would require simultaneously reorganizing the entire Federal municipal grant system. A well-meaning but forlorn-hope effort.

stonogo··on No more icons in every menu by default
And given the rapidity with which that decision was thrown in the trash and abandoned, we have no reason to assume it made sense to revisit it in the first place.
stonogo··on eMudhra intermediate CA compromise
Every certificate library has to implement its own blocking no matter which platform you run on. Windows provides an API to do this at the system level, which means nothing if a given application vendors their own TLS library.
stonogo··on Florida's HOAs and condo associations are making the housing crisis worse
"HOAs and homeowners have always been at odds" might be the most succinct description of the problem that modern "homeowner associations" constitute.
stonogo··on First enhanced geothermal power plant completed in just 23 months
Grid connection permits don't take as much time as, for instance, real natural gas turbines, which currently have a three to five year lead time. The jet turbines are the "right now" solution while they wait for those. While it's possible some jet-powered datacenters have some grid tie permits in process, I have so far found none. Permit applications are public record almost anywhere, so it's not tough to check
stonogo··on First enhanced geothermal power plant completed in just 23 months
Because behind-the-meter generation bypasses many municipal permitting processes and now also skips NEPA review. As diesel keeps climbing it'll get more expensive to truck fuel in and you'll start to see operators begging for the grid connections they scoffed at before.
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