20,580 karma · joined November 18, 2013
That kind of assumes things are static and Anthropic won't get a first mover advantage in some new area. If you look at the recent progress in maths it seems unlikely AI has plateaued.
Like CATL announced a cost of $19 per kwh. https://electrek.co/2026/07/16/catl-sodium-ion-15000-cycle-g...
which I think is far cheaper than the prices in your links. I think they'll have a job going lower for a while as the raw materials are ~$10.
I think the actual cost to buy one now it more $40-60. The $19 is probably their target in a while.
If you spread $60 over 15000 cycles that's 0.4c per kwh stored and returned which is pretty cheap compared to what I pay for electicity (~$35c).
There was a German one too:
>constructed in 1960, grid connected in 1967 and shut down in 1988. It was a 15 MWe, 46 MWt test reactor used to develop and test a variety of fuels and machinery. ... Over its lifetime the reactor had many accidents, earning it the name "Shipwreck".
Not quite sure what goes wrong but they seem problematic.
Well on with the fusion reactors, human Mars landers and the like if you can solve anything. I look forward to it.
I mean if they cut it to 1:30 of slagging Musk and threw in some jokes maybe.
If there's a 10 min highlights edit on youtube I'd likely watch it.
1 - Putin was thinking of invading. I thought US/Biden would say no or well attack you but it was more I'd prefer you didn't but won't do anything so invasion.
2 - People thought Ukraine would collapse but no
3 - Tanks and artillery - people thought that would be the thing but no
4 - Drones render tanks almost useless
5 - Starlink becomes a thing on naval drones. Also not expected
6 - Become used on things like the Hornet AI drone made by Eric Schmidt - not expected
7 - Musk/Trump recent flip not wholly expected
And many more
But siding with Russia invading Europe is a different category.
He's following Putin I think, it's a special military thingy.