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duncanawoods

3,004 karma · joined September 28, 2012

https://thorny.io

It's an interactive notebook for decision-making.

Say hello: duncan@thorny.io

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duncanawoods··on Notice of termination of Twitter merger agreement
Big Tobacco settlement - $206 billion

Deepwater settlement - $20 billion

VW Emissions settlement - $14.7 billion

duncanawoods··on Why are nuclear power construction costs so high?
There are 100% recyclable blades (including production byproducts) currently being tested. They are using Elium as the composite material which can be chemically broken down back into glass fibre and resin for reuse.

https://www.lmwindpower.com/en/stories-and-press/stories/new...

duncanawoods··on Ask HN: Why aren't there other biographies of Steve Jobs?
> By comparison Steve lived in a simple house on a public street.

Up until his death, he was in a court battle to demolish and rebuild his mansion that sat on a 6 acre estate.

duncanawoods··on Curiosity Is Better Than Being Smart?
We can play the word game of hunger too. Any claim of hunger that is not followed by eating when given the opportunity is suspect.

When a child complains of being hungry and pointing at the donuts, we offer them an apple and they storm off in a huff, we say "ha, you weren't really hungry". We reject the claim of hunger and instead suspect a desire for sugary stimulation.

Hunger is not a pure mental state but a case where physical sensations are labelled as hunger and we should often doubt that labelling. If you are on a diet there are common maxims like "are you hungry or just bored?" with advice to seek distraction because a momentary physical sensation will fade. We confuse many physical sensations for what we might want to strictly define as hunger especially when eating makes those sensations cease e.g. dyspepsia, low-mood, boredom etc. Initial assumptions of hunger can be relabelled just like the "I am excited not anxious" trick before public speaking.

The physical sensations driving the type of hunger from habitual anticipation of food are caused by observable changes in the body as it prepares itself (hormonal changes / stomach acid etc.). That gives some empirical baseline beyond qualia. So for this person on the sofa, too lazy to go eat, we should be suspicious of their labelling but can look at what their body is doing.

It's also notable that if you do any long term fasting (weeks) you find people talk about hitting "real hunger" and it's startling different experience from everyday hunger. I expect there are related physical changes but it's quite a different mental sensation - it's almost like fear - the feeling of an alarm cord being pulled and an "oh shit, I have to eat now".

duncanawoods··on Curiosity Is Better Than Being Smart?
Or have you mislabelled your internal experience? No observer could describe you as curious. Identifying unknowns is universal but if it doesn't motivate you into action, surely that is the definition of incurious? Laziness is no doubt one of the reasons behind incuriosity just as poor impulse control one of the attributes of the most curious. Would it be more accurate to say this experience was the "desire to be curious"?

Anyway, it's all a word game which is why I would expect a researcher to focus on observable phenomena and not define it in terms of qualia.

duncanawoods··on Curiosity Is Better Than Being Smart?
> Is curiosity a desire to gain knowledge? Is it a desire to see if you are right or wrong? Is it a drive to test existing hypotheses? Is it a motivation sparked by novelty or uncertainty?

It would be odd to describe it as an emotional motivation and not a behaviour.

I'd say the behaviour is a pursuit of not immediately necessary information. The subject is drawn to unravel unknowns in their environment. It might be broadly focussed to flip every stone or narrow to a subject e.g. people or a topic.

The various motivations for this behaviour probably encompasses all human motivations. It might be delight/entertainment/play of discovery, collector/completionist type obsession, fear/anxiety/pessimism/paranoia of unknowns, ego preservation to be the "one who knows", procrastination in the face of aversive tasks...

duncanawoods··on A monk in 14th-century Italy wrote about the Americas
You are getting downvoted but this is the traditional history of philosophy as I understand it too (the history of Christianity will be different).

Hellenic culture and texts had permiated Africa and and Mid-east. There were various ancient libraries and academies. Byzantine scholars at the Neoplatonic Academy fled to Persia after it was closed by Justinian. Later in the 8th Century, the Greaco-Arabic Translation Movement gathered books and translated original Greek texts into Arabic at the House of Wisdom (Grand Library of Baghdad). Study of hellenic philosophy restarted in the Arabic world until the Golden Age of Islamic Philosophy with Averroes whose commentarities reintroduced Hellenic philosophy to Europe in the 12th century.

I don't think that particular flow needs any Irish Monks but <shrug> I don't know the specific sources of books used by the Translation Movement.

duncanawoods··on Epic launches anti-cheat support for Linux, Mac, and Steam Deck
I used InSync with a mounted drive. I rebooted and it ran before the drive mounted and deleted my entire online google drive contents and then deleted the local files when the drive mounted.

The google UI is such garbage that you can't undelete 1000s of files so I had to write a script against it's API that ran for a few days restoring everything. Sucked.

duncanawoods··on Chip shortage: Toyota to cut global production by 40%
Understandable but it didn't seem to happen like this in commercial GPU sales.
duncanawoods··on Chip shortage: Toyota to cut global production by 40%
That feels a like a partner dipping into the scalper world whereas you want the top level companies to set out something more transparent.
duncanawoods··on Chip shortage: Toyota to cut global production by 40%
It's a Taiwanese company around since the 90s. They may be more Europe focused with a German office. I've never heard a US reviewer mention them but in the UK, they offer cards cheaper than the other brands. Beyond that, I don't know much about them. I've bought a couple of their cards and never had an issue so they get a thumbs up from me for N=2.
duncanawoods··on Chip shortage: Toyota to cut global production by 40%
Yes, soon after posting I realised I was referring to Asus/MSI/Palit etc. rather than Nvidia. It means either two levels of auction or the Nvidia chip sale is a % of the end unit sale.
duncanawoods··on Chip shortage: Toyota to cut global production by 40%
It's a puzzle to me why companies like nvidia didn't just raise prices and instead left both customers and profit to the dirty world of scalpers.

I guess it's "brand damage" but I feel there would be something more fair and honest if in times of tight supply they ran their own ebay-like store and auctioned them off. It wouldn't feel like a price hike and prices could automatically settle as supply/demand reaches parity.

duncanawoods··on 286 vs. 386SX
> Computer Shopper was such an amazing magazine to go through

I really miss that type of advertising. I don't want advertising intruding on unrelated activities, ruining tools and destroying my neighbourhood with billboards.

But there are times I want to be sold to. I want 100 firms to show off what they have and extol their virtues in an easy to browse format.

duncanawoods··on Lenovo Selling Linux Laptops Directly in the US
> That is despicable on Dell’s part

Meh. It was well known when I bought one so it's not underhand and I find it a pretty irrelevant feature anyway. Ubuntu logs-in very quickly so using a power button finger print reader is a more convoluted gesture to me than putting hands on the keyboard. It would need that newer feature that caches the fingerprint from the power-on event to be worthwhile.

duncanawoods··on Lenovo Selling Linux Laptops Directly in the US
I believe there are drivers available for fingerprint riders for Ubuntu 20.04. Needs an up to date bios update and I'm not sure about compatibility with older models e.g.

http://dell.archive.canonical.com/updates/pool/public/libf/l...

duncanawoods··on The deceptive PR behind Apple’s “expanded protections for children”
On Ubuntu, nvidia drivers update seamlessly as part of system updates. On Windows, I have to sign in to an nvidia account, solve 3 capcthas and then manually download half a gig of "driver".
duncanawoods··on Stupidity is a specific cognitive failing
Yes, I think you are right, that counts as precedent.

I was thinking of the famous battles chasing each other around the map that included entrenchment but didn't stall as significantly. I can see an argument that Petersburg is the last stand of an exhausted defeated army digging in at their capital with the attackers choosing to siege rather than purely an unsolvable tactical impasse created by entrenchment technology... but it's probably that too.

duncanawoods··on Stupidity is a specific cognitive failing
Given the Ludendorff offensive failed I don't think you can call stormtroopers alone a solution. High casualties, outrunning supply and obtaining territory that is hard to defend which weakens your overall position.

I don't agree that tanks had reached some ineffective impasse. Quoting wikipedia:

> By 1918, tank capabilities and tactics improved, their numbers increased and, combined with French tanks, finally helped break the stalemate. During the last 100 days of the war, Allied forces harried the Germans back using infantry supported by tanks and by close air support. By the war's end, tanks become a significant element of warfare; the proposed British Plan 1919 would have employed tanks as a primary factor in military strategy. However, the impact of tanks in World War I was less than it could have been, due to their late introduction and the inherent issues that plague implementing revolutionary technology.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trench_warfare

Plan 1919 was going to use 30,000 new faster tanks.

duncanawoods··on Stupidity is a specific cognitive failing
Calling trench warfare stupid because of conceptual obsolescence seems suspect. It was a new problem with no obvious solution. Trench warfare in the US Civil War didn't end in such a stalemate so there wasn't much precedence, There were newer automatic weapons and a vast scale of the armies covering an entire front that hadn't been seen before.

A stalemate might have been the best available outcome at the time where other alternatives would allow enemy advances. I believe the only "solution" was the tank which had yet to be invented and it's invention was a direct consequence of the stalemate. It doesn't seem right to call someone stupid for experiencing a problem that led to an invention.

I would only call the pre-tank strategies "stupid" if the decisions discarded available information and solutions.

duncanawoods··on Norman doors are everywhere (2016) [video]
Unlocked double doors create their own hazard. There is the tendency to bust through them saloon style, partly out of hedging your bet for which one is unlocked, only to lay a Loony Tunes like booby trap for anyone following behind you:

https://imgur.com/gallery/20YvUX1

duncanawoods··on No More Movies
> And Amazon...I can never quite figure out why they show me so much content that I can't access

If you click the "Free to me" link at the top then it works pretty well for just what you can access. The filter carries forward if you then filter for genres.

duncanawoods··on Pitch doctoring should be the biggest scandal in sports
Aw, I thought this was going to be about football pitches...

John Beck did a fair amount of "pitch doctoring" at Cambridge United. He would play an exclusively long ball game, hoofing it to a set of 7ft tall strikers. To help with this, he demanded that the grass be grown long in the corners to hold up the ball and basically ploughed the rest of the pitch to kill any attempt at a passing game. He was nicknamed "Dracula" for sucking the life out of the game :)

duncanawoods··on US owners find greed doesn't play well in European soccer
If you want the global sport then use global football revenue. If you want apples to apples for a regional league then compare US to Europe or normalise by population for a single country.
duncanawoods··on US owners find greed doesn't play well in European soccer
EPL is higher if you normalise by population.
duncanawoods··on Three days of pain: how I built a gaming PC
Sounds pretty painless to me! The "update bios" solution is in the 2nd and 3rd hits on google for his error code. A real headache are things like faulty components/drivers causing intermittent faults with no error code.

He did well to land on /r/buildapc - it's a real gem of the internet. Lovely people and super helpful.

duncanawoods··on Azure was having DNS issues
Wow - I can't even install dotnet on a linux machine because the packages repo is down.
duncanawoods··on New report on Apple’s VR headset: 8K in each eye, potential $3k price tag
The HP Reverb G2 has exceptional resolution that basically eliminates screen door effect.

I think the bigger challenge is not screen resolution but lenses. The G2 has quite a narrow sweetspot so although the centre of your vision is basically monitor quality and text looks perfect, the quality drops off towards the edges so it doesn't really work for reading where you want to scan left to right with eye movement. It does work well for simulations where moving your head is a more natural way to look around.

duncanawoods··on New report on Apple’s VR headset: 8K in each eye, potential $3k price tag
> pixel perfection at every part of the screen

Current lenses have quite a pronounced sweetspot in the centre of the vision so high resolution is wasted at the edges.

"fixed foveated rendering" is supported with Oculus and implemented directly in some games to reduce resolution at the edges just without eye-tracking so you can notice it if you move your eyes instead of your head. There is also "dynamic fixed foveated rendering" to ramp up/down for the current rendering load.

duncanawoods··on The Wire in HD (2014)
I don't think it's slow but it doesn't explain itself. When you see an event or character interaction without much context, it seems irrelevant and doesn't register so it might feel like nothing is happening. When I rewatch it now, I find it fast pace with no filler. I can watch McNulty play with tide tables gurgling with joy at the delicious payoff to come but if you don't know the payoff, it no doubt just feels like a dude with some paper.

As a Brit, I have no wish for subtitles. I found no difficulty with the slang or accent. There are many parts of the UK that are much more indecipherable!

I've been enjoying the podcast Way Down In The Hole as an episode by episode recap having already watched it through a few times. Stacked with extra trivia and the insight of two black hosts adds things I didn't see.

https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-wire-way-down-in-t...

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